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[lastpost] => 2768025 加密货币已不再是单纯的炒币...现在可用币买房买车交学费，连“冷冻身体”都行... 1758903906 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币分析：看跌趋势线成为焦点，看涨者关注95119美元（转）
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随着阻力趋势线主导价格走势图，比特币（BTC）价格会维持在9万美元以上吗？
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比特币价格面临看跌压力，跌破93000美元，在过去24小时内下跌1.12%。CMC恐惧与贪婪指数已降至48，反映出投资者日益增长的不确定性。% i' \* _. [4 A
- r: J- U. K# ^随着BTC努力突破关键阻力位，技术指标表明存在潜在的下行风险，而分析师对牛市反弹的可能性仍存在分歧。 I" Y6 M0 @) \8 U8 @- P
+ V e4 w. E: d( z) F. a6 y比特币价格分析: K2 j3 \) _: K D- P- ?# X
尊重4小时图中的长期阻力趋势线，BTC价格继续呈看跌趋势。正如我们的预期最后一篇文章，92750美元的关键支撑位未能吸收即将到来的供应 ；
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崩溃反弹几乎达到了预期的90000美元水平，跌至91315美元的低点。随着价格拒绝率的降低，BTC价格从90742美元的估计目标提前逆转。
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然而，看涨反弹至92748美元未能超过20-EMA线和阻力趋势线。这导致价格迅速回落至93000美元以下。1 q) `6 e7 O) b b) Y
! r! I" I2 f! N( c3 d( \目前，比特币的交易价格为92748美元，在过去4小时内小幅回升0.43%。4小时RSI线显示从超卖区域快速转向，表明有可能横向延续。
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' s3 d4 y1 j9 [: h2 [) K, m f5 Y预计盘整区间将尊重90742美元的支撑区，同时努力突破阻力趋势线。
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富达在12月30日引领外流
6 }9 k* ~) u; a随着市场经历回落，对比特币的机构支持下降。12月30日，美国现货比特币ETF的每日净流入总额为4.2613亿美元。8 F' p9 o6 i( |
6 S) C# U+ p% c1 Q比特币交易所交易基金
7 @; j0 G; q* O; I/ i富达（Fidelity）领跌，流出1.5464亿美元，其次是灰度（Grayscale），流出1.345亿美元。
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9 g+ B4 A- _+ n& i/ qBTC价格目标) |3 C1 j& d+ m6 w9 C
随着新年的临近，越来越多的看涨预期可能会推动比特币突破阻力趋势线。' }- N9 P: q. e4 d0 x( U
3 L6 d! q, Q/ h+ u3 i0 A在这种情况下，BTC价格可能会达到95119美元的即时阻力位。这非常接近50-EMA的动态平均线。) S: w2 B7 T) q k; S# p/ Y2 A( N
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另一方面，50-EMA与200-EMA形成了死亡交叉，预示着潜在的抛售。此外，下跌的100-EMA正在接近200-EMA，这是另一个看跌交叉事件。6 ]% {- W2 G/ ?# @# H
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在看跌方面，跌破90742美元将为下一个支撑位86707美元打开大门。
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8 Q) C: T0 \+ \分析师点燃2025年的希望% f l- _! Z7 E0 q$ E
尽管有多个卖出信号，独立分析师阿里·马丁内斯突出显示比特币的巨大增长潜力。
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Martinez发现之前市场峰值的月度RSI与比特币流动性指数之间存在相关性，他预计比特币价格趋势将继续看涨。
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8 ^4 Z: m: W) t6 U0 @在之前的牛市高峰期，月度RSI在下一个熊市开始前达到92。目前，月度RSI线位于75，这表明正在进行的牛市比空头预期的有更多的燃料。+ G- U! o' I q! K$ V
+ s$ U, A( n3 C, Q& b0 ^, p
Alis对比特币RSI的评论( P1 G3 |) z# Q1 C. }) L
结论
8 Q/ T' \" |8 ?0 p# p比特币（BTC）价格趋势在看跌压力下挣扎，因为死亡交叉和EMA下降等技术指标预示着持续的下跌趋势。
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6 z' h! F R4 Y, D+ a* W然而，随着RSI从超卖水平回升，分析师暗示有更大的增长空间，看涨突破仍有可能，目标是95119美元的阻力位。6 f- {6 m8 U! Z2 H! N
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