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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存(转)
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存$ [; p) ?5 ^4 H: ^) K
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8月接近尾声,比特币8月表现落后于传统资产,因流动性下降,且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。
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研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道,可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰,从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所8 J0 H6 P6 N, U5 y4 I5 p s! d
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获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示,总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。
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_1 ]8 J. D2 l. S9 DKaiko估计,美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币,其次是天朝的190000枚,英国的61200枚,和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在 X3 w8 j- h. M6 y% Y
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刑事案件中没收加密货币,而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时,Kaiko指出,Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代+ F" J! |) ^, n! w* K3 \! o
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“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题,”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们
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8 a' d, Y% b1 t/ r补充说,“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。! q" g' ?) z { s6 I
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流动性减弱0 j( |, i5 N a: ]; u# b4 [ |
6 O! [: H% |. M) a! Z除了担心大量卖压之外,比特币市场流动性稀薄,可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今,比特币在此背景下下跌了大5 N/ z5 r S5 A+ |) J4 c. p
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约8%,而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。
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“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷,导致近期价格走势震荡,”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在
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报告中写道。他补充说,季节性趋势表明,市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。
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