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现在百家乐叠码,打优惠,赚返水,似乎成了一种趋势,包括大哥大,救赎等老鸟似乎也觉得赢码佣才是百家乐的唯一出路。
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赌场开出的码佣率在收入中占多少?赌场转码收益率是如何计算的?赌场码佣最高能开到多少?下面我就澳门贵宾厅洗码的数学理论基础做些分析。! u2 U0 d' {2 A* `" Q
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转码收益率。也叫“杀数”,即赌场收入与产生这个收入所需的泥码转码额之间的数量关系。即:CW/DCs,式中CW是赌场毛收入,DCs是泥码转码额,泥码换得越多是否证明玩家输得越多?我们来看另一个公式:玩家劣势=赌场毛收入/玩家下注额。但是泥码与现金码的区别在于:当泥码押上赌台后,有输有赢,赢了赢进来现金码,泥码还可以再赌,因此下注额与泥码转码额不是同一个概念。根据澳门贵宾厅经验估计CW/DCs,约等于2.8%,我们知道百家乐中庄赢的可能性是45.85974%,闲赢的可能性是44.62466%,和赢的可能性是9.5156%,假如一位玩家带一百万到澳门贵宾厅洗码,那么理论上他会制造多少下注额呢?假如他全程押闲:1000000/45.85974%=2180561.86,也就是他需要下2180561.86的注才会输掉一百万。在这个过程中他会赢进来多少现金码呢?2180561.86*{(44.62466%*1)-(45.85974%*1)}=26929.94,理论上赌者洗一百万的码会输掉26929.94元,这就是赌场的转码收益率:26929/1000000=2.69%。但是玩家肯定会拿剩下的973070元再换泥码赌,1000000/2.69%=37174721元,我们计算出这位玩家输掉了一百万在理论上他会制造出37174721元的转码额。因此:转码收益率=HA/PL,式中HA=玩家劣势,PL=输的概率。. X3 E! y* d" a {! t+ e" U1 p
2 |; }& y \% M现在我们再来看看澳门贵宾厅能够开出的码佣率极限是多少?6 X7 g! A+ x) q( s
3 p# s c5 u, p; y4 Q首先码佣率不能高于赌场实际转码收益率,但也不能低于零。CW/DCs>DCc/DCs>0,式中CW赌场赢钱额,DCc码佣额,DCs泥码销售额。; H( ?0 {$ ?- |2 V
* T/ p1 R! y5 z3 r( t我们还要计算澳门贵宾厅的实际成本,1,按毛收入35%征收博彩特别税,2,按每台赌机1000元,贵宾厅每张赌台300000元,中场每张赌台150000元征收年溢价金。3,公司利润税,4,1.5%左右社会用途征税,5,1%中介人收入税。以上各项合计近40%,从转码收益率来计算:2.9%*(1-40%)=1.74%,也就是说只有1.74%由赌场和贵宾厅分配了,再算上10%的经营成本:1.74%-2.9%*10%=1.45%,这就是澳门贵宾厅理论能够开出的码佣率极限了。大家看了就会知道为什么澳门贵宾厅赌“台底”成风?当然这就不是我今天讨论的范围了。码佣率在澳门一般都在0.8-1.0%左右,我见到最高的达到1.4%,当然知道了它能够开出的码佣率极限,再高了也不敢去了。
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}8 m% Y( ^4 ?$ @- r6 ]下面我们来分析一下贵宾厅的叠码流程:一,赌厅承包人向赌场交一笔押金。二,赌场向赌厅承包人发放泥码贷款或赌厅承包人向赌场购买泥码。三,厅主向叠码仔发放泥码贷款。四,叠码仔再把泥码转贷或转卖给贵宾玩家。五,玩家开始在赌台下注。六,玩家输掉泥码嬴回现金码,七,叠码仔开始叠码,用泥码换回玩家手中的现金码。八,叠码仔再把手中的现金码按一定码佣率卖给赌厅。九,玩家继续用从叠码仔手中換来的泥码赌下去,直至输光手中的泥码。十,叠码仔开始讨要玩家赊欠的赌债。十一,叠码仔要回现金后偿还在赌厅赊欠的款项。十二,赌厅拿到钱后又向赌场购买泥码。& Z( h3 w! j7 O0 N. z
! p3 F/ i2 j2 x0 G以上流程周而复始。% J, W, [! T9 l1 p
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需要指出的是澳门贵宾厅厅主承担的是无限责任,不受澳门破产法保护。2 Q0 G! h p7 w% q, |+ r
/ ~0 T" M" _" [( ]3 M5 x3 t8 \现在我来说说什么叫赌底?它的原理是贵宾厅主为偷逃税收,与玩家勾结,采取无码投注或小码大注的方式,依据台面开出的结果,进行台下对赌,比如某玩家与赌厅约定好以一当十,在贵宾厅拿了十万的泥码,说好相当于一百万,最终他赢了十万,厅主还要另外私下付给他九十万,由于澳门ZF只对台面的流水征税,台下对赌部分无须交税,这也就是人们常说的台面台下,一个晚上输羸过亿的大部分采取的都是这种方式。: o: }9 h) w& z& ~3 F0 E5 l
1 M( b8 f( d# K' y0 u( }1 y听说澳门贵宾厅存在两种:一种是“杀数”厅,即接一定的比例与赌场一起承担输羸风险。另一种叫“洗码”厅,每个月须完成一定的泥码量,按转码率提成,不承担输赢风险。
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