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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四- E* w, y9 ^, o% D9 ]
# g9 N R! ^ L- h' E+ D, W# s2 T
正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置
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" J* ?7 P6 ]5 t' T# M8 d比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公
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( J8 r! V# S8 K7 b司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。
9 }! \; r7 w+ N& r在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比
3 g$ v' _, d( M+ B% F1 x: H0 y1 x' U) C4 O3 A
特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金
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(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。' A: _( C" L! I
' |$ ]5 v2 P9 _8 \- K. t# Y9 H 来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货
9 D* I" k( G. J. h" y- @8 i: }/ x: O+ h% B/ I- |0 L; [
币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，2 [) \, j7 u! a% T/ X5 S
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并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。4 Q) C3 e6 I3 d' n& r. A; [
1 n0 D( C% N6 i! x3 A* d“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特" T1 A- |1 L; a z, b) Q% x
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币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价- p7 u) K- u7 T* b$ v7 _( l9 n
0 a6 j4 D& ~+ w$ O3 K' H格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。
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1 v% L: l# H4 C$ y( i. G5 ]' [在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大; r. O1 e/ @% T0 q, o& C
/ C& A1 ?# X& z2 q& g力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，
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7 |+ Z$ |1 \% Z& \. k/ @2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。 f$ `( u( n% J
# J% l+ D5 {+ f$ [自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到
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63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。
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“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下: R8 }3 e0 G& E d" j0 P+ O! @' l) y
: X. q/ S0 P& I/ I! h: X% o降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该+ S a0 H: q" v1 \; F: ]
" p% Y. t6 H6 v& E+ n会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。
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