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6 U) I4 l) S$ r4 q; \) s
美国证券交易委员会(SEC)昨日批准11档比特币现货ETF，包括灰度的GBTC转比特币现
* j& F6 [6 T4 f4 P; F( u7 p货ETF申请，并于昨晚正式开始交易，首日比特币现货ETF总交易量突破46亿美元，其中GBTC交易量最高，达
+ r# K7 l: i# F* ^4 O* Z23.2亿美，占比将近一半。
; s+ M7 ~! Q% C! O( K. K/ d- \彭博分析师James Seyffart认为，这一交易量中，有很大一部分是在出售灰度的GBTC，并购买其他ETF，至于出
. z& |; J% V% e: s9 ?6 ~/ i h售的原因，推测与长期以来的负溢价消失，用户获利了结、或是认为GBTC管理费太高想转换有关，也就是说不一
% ^; R. w; _1 Y2 R4 i. _! C8 y6 ]: `# V定全是新资金流入。6 |, x3 k2 Y- j/ ~& r. G
GBTC负溢价收窄至趋近于零
. \4 z* i9 F& x h: P; ^; |值得注意的是，随着GBTC转比特币现货ETF申请获批，YCharts数据显示，GBTC相对资产净值(NAV)的折价已缩- s# j5 f7 C$ Y+ K$ r( H6 j* \
窄趋近于零%，创下自2021年2月以来首次，至截稿前报–1.9%。2 w0 l L" p6 m' _- H; s0 w
自2021年2月以来，GBTC价格一直低于其持有的比特币价值，并在2022年12月创下历史新低，达到近50%的负
" g# n7 @, T4 r9 b溢价，不过随着去年夏季灰度赢得对SEC的诉讼，使GBTC转比特币现货ETF申请获批重燃希望，GBTC负溢价开始
) H3 y# l1 U; J大幅缩窄。
" p8 Z" y. j; r8 M3 q; |. LCoindesk报导，FundStrat的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell表示，GBTC趋近于NAV，是加密货币领域的一大解
7 ^. H: v, c! I8 u. ~6 U脱，也是加密货币产业迈入新成熟阶段的象征，GBTC由于明显的原因，在过去几年来，给市场带来了很多不必要' b- _5 V$ @8 s) u
的痛苦。
7 c$ D$ L% o {, D: T& T此前出现折价的原因，与该基金性质有关，GBTC运作方式类似封闭式基金，这代表GBTC缺乏固有的套利机制，
! o' d) E0 T9 X1 Y! z4 t. }" z' F无法让做市商自行申购或赎回股份，Sean Farrell指出：比特币一直存在于此信托中，但缺乏赎回机制，导致其相# `4 j0 w' M+ X) l: E" w( N5 K4 H, ?
对于基础资产价值大幅折价，最重要的是，这伤害了许多个人投资者，原因是其表现低于基准，此外，还导致大
2 ~4 r( O- T% j( ?9 \ w/ a规模信贷崩溃，原因是此产品在整个加密货币领域被用作抵押品。, w) f+ i- Y5 ~' t! n: W
未来溢价/折价将极小! d+ S2 S5 s1 t9 f" e; F7 K
GSR加密货币研究分析师Matt Kunke表示，GBTC在过去，流动性只有在二级市场的场外交易，但如今GBTC已转
3 f9 q* {+ D2 i' T换为现货ETF，授权参与者能依照资产净值申购和赎回ETF份额，进而将ETF市场价格与其资产价值挂钩：因此，5 w4 k- o1 P/ a# b2 s1 @" O4 a( c
未来溢价/折价可能只会有几个基点的变动。
& }2 Q" ]; Y% m0 y: \展望未来，Sean Farrell认为，鉴于以太坊现货ETF接下来可望也获得SEC批准上市，灰度以太坊信托(ETHE)申请( c# V5 G6 R5 c! `
可能过关，观察ETHE的负溢价(目前-11.48%)接下来将如何变化，将是一件有趣的事情。0 ~! a9 Z2 l0 u9 A. j0 x
1 R& Y. p+ }' r
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