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[lastpost] => 2816464 明天将迎来四巫日，市场严阵以待，应对比特币可能出现的波动。（转） 1773939240 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
( A( Y3 g+ o, S! P% ?+ G( q/ i# P% W' L
比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？$ X/ P9 C) S& P* R4 t$ w1 v5 v- A
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
: B8 O7 {% X6 s" t) h. V
& N2 X# f: a! A; F. o7 @& `# t# u1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
& q% G0 c: l0 K1 U( }( ]0 C' r8 v6 u9 Z8 n g3 c
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过2 d; Y8 D; R6 R/ k u
: x/ Q9 h' d" L0 w- g/ b9 c中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
5 b- f; {2 M! [
1 Y# k) D' n: x y! _( Z去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5 k( D6 O. d6 _) r: H9 u ?1 r
+ o5 |4 m( g7 O% C- w" s+ S" M- [
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH * U2 e2 Y$ c7 q" G) F8 l
& @2 j/ ? E! C0 @Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和1 B' m; t1 w k; v) e) `
6 E. N* W' R4 {7 V9 oETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
4 C" s1 q ]. f6 ~3 R% M# I. T
) l) h% b1 D' e1 c6 F! m: t美金）。
4 z5 w1 r9 K+ I6 S$ c/ Y& h/ m
1 j( ]8 g! H. ^8 A9 Z
2 r. @$ F0 a$ e F) G. V2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态 e/ X0 n" a; E$ C4 o8 S% M/ t
+ _" Q% a( ?$ f3 r" f
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
9 q" l$ ?( Q3 g6 C7 E* l/ J' }2 V9 [- c8 s: o" _
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。7 m3 _6 \" o J+ n% ~0 a8 p) ?
/ E( C* ^8 c. Y( ]9 T0 h# u9 D
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户7 r+ w$ H$ h6 ~4 h5 R) H2 m
6 V& C6 f+ ^0 ?/ m
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。/ N' ]% W! B ^3 l! @: V
j( w. K5 J" z N: s) I4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
, y. c" b6 k! h; P5 L7 [/ w1 L2 b
8 \, t* }3 G& \. W) B约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如0 ^# q. ^# T( W: K/ l' @* s
) ~& j. [; e/ ~8 ]: @9 y$ F- E: f
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美* [5 j2 R: G0 \- c9 C( o& N. a
% D* L1 u/ V8 `1 ], L& h
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。" ]; i: B" R4 T* a
6 _) G+ e) u8 R* l
$ K* Q1 Y! X: C5 h. G; y7 V
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