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[lastpost] => 2797541 随着美伊紧张局势加剧，比特币或将跌破 9.6 万美元大关（转） 1768666218 叫我十三
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，( F0 E$ D' k, L8 a
6 Q, }6 D% {. C$ S7 h- [0 i" a' k# M4 ]
比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？6 f0 H0 @3 |: k1 W
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
0 R. p6 O( L. Y5 I& Z
! P% k5 ]) L/ h0 E' o" H1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在2 j; l- A7 [ x5 y+ `% x4 Q8 r
+ x; j. o1 l/ l* a% c1 o# k2 S% N: l
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
; w2 t9 t* u' D' T c& ]
( k6 J+ z! d H, m5 J% A$ o- `中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
8 d' @) D3 L b1 j, f4 P8 [' q; n r1 f% m" b) c
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长; `4 ?9 S* a8 Y# g1 n
1 e1 I( d6 l0 K% S1 E- I
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
5 n- X0 [4 J. C- x) q4 c
2 }. v- U9 d! h+ I* q3 v- B$ L8 dLayer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和# T1 S1 m, O# M
. }7 M8 R4 R; P+ M) ^3 L. g \
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿" H, u& b1 y0 @% O; Q7 H5 Y
' h" V8 |% [5 x% f* \; b美金）。
3 f, P4 Z* f4 H
( M8 H4 S) T* S! U# `) ~7 ? _7 z% @
* F4 H% A0 n( H2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态# I0 T, _4 G7 z/ x
% L0 R- f; x' b% s& D6 g' ?
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去4 t. @3 k! z& x2 r
) i8 t9 `9 y, X+ [3 J( L0 A3 p1 Q
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。2 q! Z# s' a; F2 m
3 f2 H) q4 _7 q, }! a3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
% _# p+ b7 e0 B! ^) _
6 f' Y* G# p; b5 [8 H- G" |" |尤其大资金的信任和青睐。( N6 x( o% U/ }8 C* X9 a+ J: w
2 w# _* d" ^0 I7 C+ Y# [4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
1 j% j* D" w" Z4 d. Q5 `( K2 ^$ m. v, D' O) l$ L" K
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如. s& A" c, b) z5 N+ l- M1 t
% N: a4 O7 p7 \- F5 E& q
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美3 g8 g, S. }( ^9 G g
' J, S7 U* {; E! z
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。 @$ k ?/ N- s
8 p" f% V4 ^9 Y7 k4 _5 D8 |: s! _& K+ m7 p
% [) p+ I) [4 M5 O" \ |
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