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小分3种情况:5 z$ D! u* Z# W/ a2 p8 b8 X" w
# }4 r, A2 c& x: j1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。) \7 D) U$ N' c
+ `) G' L, {2 |
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。5 d! h5 b. i& p" Y
" l& H( _1 K+ L I( F3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。9 Y0 t' ]/ K8 d3 A
( s6 Y3 k" W& T
2张牌8或9点的情况有:' S1 c3 O, j5 N$ y5 G' w9 T- A, i) U
) E4 Q/ g, C3 h1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10, f+ }7 t/ D( D- W( P
' U" y9 f; w7 g3 v4 \- m3 P F* H7 `1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
4 G4 d' `. S$ ], d5 O. U2 ]: u8 _5 ^0 k
4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415+ g5 b4 ?; z q& d. W5 ?# P# {
& h3 w3 ]: y3 L" i
8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415; ]* r* W2 D3 O5 Z/ b
* E2 ]5 w' m3 f6 @3 {. E/ U/ A由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。+ h6 D" b3 [& ]; e% I
( F2 s; y+ p( ?通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
- O# ^: s5 P, @/ v, T1 z* O% S. k6 g2 D; b- U! J! r' \7 L5 R" t, l: C+ b
那么我们可以得出
/ Y/ e+ O" K1 G, n4 N
% b8 `1 B" G" l2 `1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
0 \4 L& n. E) t1 J% N7 t, r8 K( u% e0 l+ B& @% f/ {
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 6 `! b: g& m9 L# }. ?# K$ l
# _8 t& A4 I3 ~; I7 c2 b' k3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491
) I r1 T7 `1 ]8 R# r) t5 p9 h# z4 @" d; Y+ a7 C/ y6 `
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323/ w3 B* s2 Y6 @0 H" Q
) h7 S6 y7 b# Q2 t! [/ M# H2 n百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
2 x6 c# R8 C, G( R j/ @8 c |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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