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小分3种情况:
7 `; W. P. z. p) E0 Q9 V8 |* F0 B2 @: ]8 x% l, l& z
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。1 P* |) p" S0 w
$ l X) D* C, ~5 r/ J2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
% o5 W7 I/ R6 V" g
, ^" i( V" K$ ?9 e q1 Q3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。
7 R% t( N) n* f$ i
7 w4 W1 R4 n! g( i+ C7 x6 R2张牌8或9点的情况有:& O7 S5 \0 |' Z# j$ E
7 A+ d7 U6 S# b. }. z
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+106 c, C* q1 d- `- Y' N" |/ }0 i
9 S, ^: U5 ^: R* f1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/4154 f/ T) R/ J) O& V" o
5 S5 Q1 X- h+ ~4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
: }! U1 S$ g9 Z
. e( u9 s$ F/ e. J( @5 a8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
9 h8 F l$ Q- w$ c) W+ A
, B7 H2 l/ S; g7 h9 V由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。# I7 A! k C5 W
! |8 \- U' t1 J8 |- A& L' M
通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
. v" [2 y. x3 g- Q9 s0 |
+ L, K9 L( Z5 d% g9 ^( A那么我们可以得出4 Q3 @* Y+ T: I6 m9 V: M) c
% ^% I! c, }, h
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662/ a% W* Q& o$ O$ s2 _6 ^" b; y2 z
9 @7 v, P% ?$ q# r. S3 Y2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171
0 k; ^, j6 L$ E' X- J+ ]' F4 x& N R% Q' U- L: }* E( }1 f
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491
% ~/ B4 y& D6 P+ S
) x( g" k. L5 h所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323" h7 l' o0 n6 l$ E/ H4 V Y% P
: v' S. m7 o+ Z6 N3 z
百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
- m1 {, h, x$ X3 h8 }+ `- s |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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