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[lastpost] => 2797541 随着美伊紧张局势加剧，比特币或将跌破 9.6 万美元大关（转） 1768666218 叫我十三
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[虚拟币交流]
随着美伊紧张局势加剧，比特币或将跌破 9.6 万美元大关（转）
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比特币在经历了一轮强劲的周线反弹后，目前守住了 96,000 美元上方，当日涨幅约 1%，周涨幅约为 6%。需要关注的价位是 95,000 美元。如果能守住该价位，则表明市场结构保持完整。如果下跌，则可能出现更大幅度的回调。
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5 g* i5 `/ f' k3 U9 Q5 I加密货币总市值一度飙升近5%，达到3.25万亿美元，随后涨势停滞。目前价格处于数月高位，但后续需求不足。与此同时，CoinMarketCap数据显示，加密货币市场恐惧与贪婪指数……转中立54岁。0 _& K% @3 H, B0 k, U- O/ Y& o5 H+ E
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宏观平静是脆弱的* z! w. `% K1 o
除加密货币以外，其他市场的风险情绪有所缓和。金属价格回落，美国暗示可能推迟对伊朗的军事行动后，油价下跌。另一方面，亚洲股市走低。由于交易员抛售科技股，美国股指期货也出现下跌。
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美伊关系的任何恶化都可能迅速推高油价，并加剧各类资产的风险。比特币尚未反映出这种风险。) W( y' q7 R! N1 b7 p+ a# |7 h
- d* M- X+ @; l+ Q( ?5 S有关的：受关税和美联储冲击，比特币两个月高位面临风险1 }( I: F5 Z6 _; j2 b h* q7 c; q
# U% X! i" h5 t( m, n5 j杠杆已被清除( s8 W* e, r+ b+ r; t/ o+ w5 S4 |+ w
比特币衍生品未平仓合约量较10月份下降了约30%。去杠杆化降低了系统中的过高风险。目前比特币未平仓合约总量接近650亿美元，低于峰值时的900多亿美元。
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+ N1 U% ^3 w1 z, v9 [未平仓合约下降的上涨行情通常意味着空头平仓，而不是多头涌入。这使得行情走势更加清晰，但也意味着多空头头寸减少。最近这波上涨至 9.6 万美元的行情是由期货成交量低迷导致的空头挤压造成的，而非现货需求强劲。# O$ @ m$ _1 z$ ^; V/ o; q
; Q L3 k' o2 [$ D" L选项定位显示行权价为10万美元的期权备受关注，其名义价值约为22亿美元。交易员希望价格上涨，但目前风险承受能力尚不足以支撑这一价格。
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根据链上分析Glassnode 平台现货市场开始转为乐观，而币安和综合交易所 CVD 指标再次转为看涨。# {! L3 Y7 a$ b
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Glassnode表示，加密货币交易所Coinbase此前曾带来巨大的抛售压力，但现在抛售压力已经缓解。该平台还补充说，“在趋势全面扩张阶段，通常会出现积极的吸筹行为。”; N, e0 Z' t# g* V. t+ N" p1 \
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美伊局势这波动真刺激，比特币这波要是真破9.6万就完犊子了 |
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