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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上：长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗？（转）
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长期持有者依然坚定持有，比特币仍处于积累阶段。
! A0 x) A4 U5 \6 T0 X: B现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。
( Q- [8 y w9 E. X: \2 S1 i在过去的24小时内，比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%，截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。# D/ _1 m0 _0 k; [0 U
+ X6 X8 l9 B+ T( |' E/ q2 o- S: i1 J尽管市场普遍动荡，但比特币价格依然保持坚挺，这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。
* f9 S2 D6 a4 ^/ h- K. q7 q7 J& t! w! a) C
长期持有者没有抛售迹象- x# R8 y# o3 O# b; K C
比特币的 RHODL 比率（将长期持有者（6 个月至 2 年）与短期持有者（1 天至 3 个月）进行比较）显示后者仍在持有。$ s, m. Z$ z. q+ S# A* @5 a
; I5 z# g. h/ A/ d- e
值得注意的是，RHODL 比率目前低于 2，低于 2024 年的高点，表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。
" W1 N& j7 D& t& M+ s
; K$ J3 k5 u: f' [- m: z! |截至发稿时，重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。
7 N1 J" X" ?- n. d( ?6 j1 n. Z; r6 b2 C5 }- A c" R# }! J& x& v
这一指标很重要，因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。3 S& a# c( U C$ p D
, f5 \; t' F; F+ z, J" M0 D
从历史上看，当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时，它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。3 d* {9 M S' x+ M2 K
3 H9 s5 s/ X8 j; b3 I
AMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。2 |$ X3 d" N- I- e2 ~ a2 z6 E/ x
/ H6 j h, M3 E" V) S+ f现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降
. x: J, l' H& J9 Y现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。
( x% ^3 l8 ^. y% B5 m, e, j' G! N; ?& }6 X9 T, y
过去24小时内，现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而，这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。. r" ]* N" f' ^2 @6 [! E9 R3 n) \
0 P& |+ P% `1 X9 F5 F与此同时，传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元，创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。: i! S6 m3 d. `2 Y# w
/ U/ \+ h' w2 v. ]. W9 B8 i此项活动证实，投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平，根据 Puell Multiple，这仍被视为折扣。
6 A& d. D% f' M4 o
5 E, b9 B( h7 r S问题依然存在：所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗？AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘，发现了更多见解。
% h3 ?# h+ t9 G' _# K/ ?& e# U7 L" R' b
加密基金进入市场：供应紧缩？
: \5 H9 j! I* N$ E+ l截至发稿时，基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。6 x6 R) r+ w* C% H; y
) R. [; f* v+ d* D1 {. y" Q
当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时（目前为 0.1），就会发生买入。8 I& D$ \& r8 D7 t* t. ?9 }
- T- v+ _( G% O7 r* a Y% x3 y3 t( k该指标的持续上升表明，比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势，尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。
5 n9 p4 }/ g1 f- o) Q. }" P
6 r) y0 ]& c% b6 a当需求超过供应时，就会出现供应紧缩，从而推高资产价格。& }: k8 m/ x# O! E4 \8 I
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