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[lastpost] => 2797544 莱特币交易价格较 2025 年峰值下跌 46%(转) 1768491881 小钱儿
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境( p/ h$ v' g7 A2 F2 |
Stablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破3 C0 Y0 d6 e# p6 p' b
似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。
/ ?2 V- ]5 C0 \9 }8 \& [" ^+ C
. b, I: B+ B# H% o) E7 B实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。4 z) [7 t# B S7 P# m/ }3 R& f
; n; S% A6 S5 ^. D) }/ v这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。9 e8 Q' f! \$ Q$ Z' x% U
: S5 c$ Q& d/ ]在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。! D; A n8 y9 {4 t7 F
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红色海洋中的四个幸存者5 k* |& u& G3 o3 D6 |
根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。$ h( q3 T0 h' \
2 x- V8 }6 |4 y4 S简而言之,表现不佳。
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- Z5 Z0 _# G5 j1 m2 h. m6 r$ A大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。. E. |9 F% c0 {+ ]# ?- D
- p: K5 i9 A- x. q9 f3 g6 L" j3 `
相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。- I$ B5 w, z l, ^
$ Z5 Q" C! I+ r7 q+ ]3 f自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。
# v3 p2 g/ |; z- L" g6 E+ t
5 u E3 {, W" o: A. x7 hAltcoin信誉的消失法案
- Y7 g& N) U Z& ^滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。& i4 I0 V! ^' e) G8 `
% }+ ?* n1 f, d; v3 j5 s, Q
交易的势头最近也消失了。* H! o5 m8 v: d; Q5 P( k6 c
/ J2 W8 n1 L% H5 \12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。% M8 H( t* J) A6 u
: k7 P6 Y3 K% ~! q# H, ?这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。
# R0 v2 v* K: D$ L, S0 O" [( g1 P0 S( R' G0 @9 \3 V/ y
十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。$ \3 q+ u( _0 z! T1 m
8 j0 ~/ C E! j1 u) [3 @
比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。
" j6 }. @. n: b4 D" c& _/ N8 F c9 R- W* F t
当高峰转向警告时
" l* \& V9 o( s. }2 U. d2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。
4 m2 |" h5 P4 I) N. H1 j4 s9 Y P" N; `
比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。
" I/ Q/ r1 N# S
1 _/ E6 H+ u& V# o" U. J2 i这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。- l8 m1 u- U- H2 b- F, @, n9 V6 _0 A
( f2 t# C e9 ?, ]
每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。. Y' Y% N. u4 k5 {: t
( q6 v5 S9 V, ~" r% g* R) [
比特币还是胸围?8 b/ t4 f. z4 x, z5 M
存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。
: x3 _1 u( m; I3 {4 |) D- v' `. D2 C" w0 m2 c6 r' f+ g) B
就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。5 m! x% M1 f! }+ C
3 P% i0 Y8 F& I |
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