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[虚拟币交流]
比特币可能在未来两天内开始反弹至15万美元:分析(转)
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分析师Ali Martinez认为,比特币可能会在未来两天内开始反弹至15万美元,然后出现大幅回调。
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. h" d A' ?+ D5 @7 @; g6 s8 ^比特币与前几周的剧烈波动不同,过去几天一直处于持有模式,没有出现重大价格变动。% H6 W6 ~5 O) y) E" ?
4 \3 `( m' Q s1 s4 W! `自11月13日比特币达到93500美元的峰值以来,它一直在努力走高。虽然它经历了温和的调整,跌至86682美元,但此后反弹至92600美元。
4 v9 m4 F' O4 i
( G9 H' w$ ~) v" t: a5 ^2 Y2 u/ i在过去的六天里,比特币在8.9万美元至9.1万美元之间波动,价格没有重大变化。在这个被动市场中,参与者既谨慎又兴奋,预计会出现大幅下跌或大幅上涨。
9 [$ h6 Z* q$ y1 Y) G- e/ w/ K* h6 F3 p3 o& x5 N+ U
与此同时,像Ali Martinez这样的分析师正在研究历史趋势,以预测比特币的下一个可能走势。
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历史表明,比特币在大幅调整前可能达到13.8万美元3 |2 N/ J0 s5 @' |. Q$ ]
在A更新今天早些时候,Martinez指出,在2016/2017牛市期间,比特币价格飙升了156%,超过了首次大幅调整前的历史最高点,首次大幅调整使其价值蒸发了39% ;# j; b7 m$ c9 L$ o2 a4 e4 l6 C
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同样,他指出,在2020/2021年的周期中,比特币的价值增长了121%,然后经历了32%的回调,抹去了其中的一些涨幅。基于这些观察,他认为比特币在面临首次大幅回调之前可能会达到至少13.8万美元 ;; }. \ r+ r! \% g, M& O+ r% Y) A
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比特币牛市可能在两天内爆发,目标价为15万美元* m0 t5 Y) \ S$ I# w3 P: n
与此同时,在后续帖子中,马丁内斯强调比特币正在密切镜像前两个牛市周期的模式。; g8 i5 n& d! f3 W+ i' J
% D& T* z; V# D& a- Y- w% o- z他之前曾指出,在比特币上个季度夺回19700美元的峰值后,它飙升了26%,然后巩固了一周。整合之后,价格大幅上涨至40000美元。
( q1 Y4 r7 i, ^# T! o
" h7 v3 S1 o, o6 w, }5 {值得注意的是,在目前的情况下,比特币已经比3月份的峰值73750美元飙升了26.7%,并且自达到93500美元的新峰值以来,在过去的六天里一直在巩固。, t2 p+ X$ }2 Q1 P% M2 e
2 u* e1 ]# x+ X* ^7 u2 o因此,马丁内斯相信如果历史可以作为参考的话,市场可能会在未来一两天内再次突破,目标价约为15万美元。 n2 J$ q' A1 S2 p2 A$ T
/ Y, B5 ?( E5 A0 G& z- U牛市后调整期间的潜在价格目标
2 \% i% j" J5 l+ @值得注意的是,15万美元的目标与比特币的历史趋势相一致,在经历约30%的大幅调整之前,比特币在超过以往的历史高点后通常会上涨100%或更多 ;
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如果这种情况发生,如果比特币首次声称15万美元目标如果峰值接近13.8万美元,则达到9.6万美元。7 B) b6 Y6 }, A
3 f% Z [ ~, F与此同时,Martinez强调了8.3万至8.5万美元和7.2万至7.5万美元的价格区间,作为市场从看涨转为看跌的潜在支撑区域。, i0 ]: p/ y6 [* J) u3 O
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