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[虚拟币交流]
全球降息潮助力比特币攻克季节性颓势 本月上涨逾10%（转）
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美联储带头的全球一轮降息潮帮助比特币克服了季节性低迷，本月增幅在历史同期表现中领先。 j X$ B! N9 z7 E
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数据显示，比特币本月上涨逾10%，而过去10年9月份平均下跌5.9%。一项规模较小的数字货币指数已上涨逾20%，显示宽松的金融环境使得加密货币市场中风险偏高的部分的情绪更加活跃。4 N% g$ ~6 O+ H% ]
2 l( |, c& p* J 美联储、欧洲央行以及天朝人民银行9月全面降息，以支持经济增长。投资者对更加宽松的货币环境做出了反应，推高从股票到黄金的各类资产，并预计未来会有进一步的刺激措施。
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' G3 S7 ?, F3 C# B( A1 v“在比特币与货币政策的关联度方面，最高的仍然是美联储，”流动性提供商Arbelos Markets的交易主管Sean McNulty表示。“其他央行的宽松政策肯定也有帮助。”
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d* P3 J. |; l$ H) F& O* p 加密货币交易所Kraken在一份报告中表示，若比特币无法“决定性地”突破65000美元，可能预示着其将进入更为疲软的时期。- V; _9 Z# y/ O# I7 ]! Q
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美联储、欧洲央行和天朝央行都在9月份下调了借贷成本，以支持经济增长。投资者对宽松的货币环境做出了回应，从股票到黄金，所有资产都被推高，因为他们预计未来还会有进一步的刺激措施。
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% Y, s. U9 I0 h ?流动性提供商Arbelos Markets的交易主管Sean McNulty表示：“就美联储而言，比特币与货币政策的相关性仍然最高。其他央行的宽松政策当然也有帮助。”
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# n# b6 P, L& f2 [* d 周五，比特币上涨了1.2%，截至发稿，比特币的成交价为65334美元。在流入美国比特币现货ETF的资金的推动下，比特币在2024年上涨了56%，但低于3月份创下的73798美元的纪录高位。/ D# i2 X& C2 L2 K* C
5 D( U+ s/ L; G" p2 j6 B 数字资产衍生品交易流动性提供商Orbit Markets的联合创始人Caroline Mauron表示，由于周五大量期权合约到期，6.5万美元的水平可能会在几个小时内“粘住”。根据加密货币交易所Kraken的一份报2 q* p- Z" a6 m
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告，如果未能“果断”突破6.5万美元，可能预示着该代币的疲软期。- Q9 K; l/ r- D, A% G4 m; U+ t% |
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除了货币政策，数字资产行业还在等待美国总统大选的结果。许多高管预计，在大选投票后的几个月里，美国更明确的加密监管将提振市场情绪。
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