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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存(转)
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存
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8月接近尾声,比特币8月表现落后于传统资产,因流动性下降,且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。
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研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道,可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰,从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所& G: o, G2 z L* Z- Q; j) V
. s; X& R# U3 t- {2 e获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示,总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。
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% `4 v. y/ z' ?- q6 O! g+ pKaiko估计,美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币,其次是天朝的190000枚,英国的61200枚,和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在
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2 S, l7 Y* a- L' H5 I8 V刑事案件中没收加密货币,而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时,Kaiko指出,Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代 Q, |& s/ j9 P$ J1 {
7 E' {6 _* m D2 h! W0 @2 p+ I5 @币待分配。
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“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题,”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们
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: W% Y# K( b2 O$ T% T0 v4 s补充说,“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。6 e! ^$ B& a" {1 ]6 L0 p$ q1 p
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& o* d$ M; M4 _: k流动性减弱; S4 [5 m t- U$ e. J; x
" f. ?9 h( h5 y7 a5 t除了担心大量卖压之外,比特币市场流动性稀薄,可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今,比特币在此背景下下跌了大3 j7 B8 n5 n) z8 S
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约8%,而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。
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“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷,导致近期价格走势震荡,”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在
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, ] t) p+ n8 q* m' W报告中写道。他补充说,季节性趋势表明,市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。! L+ `1 ?; P1 w+ j) r
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