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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存（转）
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存( |+ y; k% e. l8 K* g- `
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& h2 a$ b$ P7 E4 Q+ N6 z3 y' `. G 8月接近尾声，比特币8月表现落后于传统资产，因流动性下降，且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。
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研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道，可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰，从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所. \+ w9 k9 j# b* \( y' M
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获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示，总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。 y5 F7 e( ^0 o6 e( k, E2 @
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Kaiko估计，美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币，其次是天朝的190000枚，英国的61200枚，和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在; i5 G4 W) t1 j1 U8 [/ l
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刑事案件中没收加密货币，而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时，Kaiko指出，Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代
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3 L9 f0 o3 s3 D9 f币待分配。
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“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题，”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们
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补充说，“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。4 X, u! o( Z3 i% P( L* Z
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流动性减弱2 O$ Z! {. ]$ M5 B7 k7 x3 h
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除了担心大量卖压之外，比特币市场流动性稀薄，可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今，比特币在此背景下下跌了大3 i, D6 `8 I) c% D, N
& M/ f7 X0 C. i: K约8%，而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。+ S& W, Y% T/ H# |& u1 V* r! ?5 Y/ q6 X
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“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷，导致近期价格走势震荡，”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在, Y* g& w/ k" E! {% z" m
) B, h* O2 S& s7 E$ V; b: R报告中写道。他补充说，季节性趋势表明，市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。
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