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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存（转）
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存
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8月接近尾声，比特币8月表现落后于传统资产，因流动性下降，且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。7 J& n0 u, K. B7 g8 u6 F* F
, m* k3 n/ H$ L1 ]3 C/ u" R5 g2 s研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道，可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰，从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所! H- ~2 @* Q+ h/ b& \% E9 T# i
7 T$ c* M* \8 ?5 I0 b获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示，总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。$ q( Z* D [7 W
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Kaiko估计，美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币，其次是天朝的190000枚，英国的61200枚，和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在0 Y8 F" Z3 e( f0 D+ m
7 k$ `) i/ T& O" E2 P刑事案件中没收加密货币，而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时，Kaiko指出，Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代) B3 ?/ j" a/ {( G2 z8 i
! B- F# ~) ^, q5 ]& l) V2 l币待分配。4 e+ @8 w8 ?+ A* f9 d5 f, b7 v7 `+ ]
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“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题，”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们7 w( a" H4 A5 n/ M
. t0 q; h8 p/ e: s补充说，“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。
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除了担心大量卖压之外，比特币市场流动性稀薄，可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今，比特币在此背景下下跌了大; O( d' c- H3 C1 j. [
9 b# s; Y4 H7 v8 h K- J# |6 k约8%，而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。
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“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷，导致近期价格走势震荡，”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在
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! b- ]. R$ l8 {$ E# ~( W7 |报告中写道。他补充说，季节性趋势表明，市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。
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