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[lastpost] => 2657232 以太币价格预测:彭博分析师预计S-1表格将在7月2日之前获批—ETH会飙升吗?(转) 1718472224 NBA专家
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币(BTC)将进入 300 天牛市?这一关键指标揭示了什么(转)
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加密货币分析师Axel Adler表示,比特币 [BTC]可能会进入300 天的牛市。来自CryptoQuant的短期持有者利润数据显示,牛市正如火如荼地进行。
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% c* \) V& T8 ]6 k Q3 B& ]目前价格仅比两个月前的 73.7 万美元高点低 4.2%,且减半事件已经过去,购买压力可能呈上升趋势。3 b; m% h2 u a5 i
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未平仓合约表明价格还有更大的上涨空间。
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7 Q+ H$ n8 h2 M& q* P评估之前的峰值以及对未来的预测 B: o* c5 L- Z+ E; q, U1 i. d* a
短期持有人花费产出利润率 (STH SOPR) 的 90 天 SMA 在 2018 年 1 月达到峰值 1.064,在 2021 年 3 月达到峰值 1.057。这表明 STH 利润峰值区间为 1.064-1.057。
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截至发稿时,STH SOPR 的 90 天移动平均线为 1.015。. |9 b% i2 V6 _+ Q6 F1 J
) S9 N/ s5 O: P! h这表明上涨空间更大,而且顶部很可能尚未到来。此外,SOPR 90DMA 达到 1.015 与周期峰值之间有 291 天。
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然而,2020-21 周期中相同值之间仅相差 105 天。因此,我们可能会经历三到十二个月的牛市。
6 u( g8 s# T) {% F' P4 M5 v6 g' D' P该分析师还指出,近期持仓量7日移动平均线仅上涨9%。
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! `4 L! b2 |' \相比之下,2024 年 1 月的涨幅为 20%,2021 年的多次 OI 7DMA 变动也接近 20%。
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综合起来,这两项观察结果都支持比特币市场才刚刚开始反弹的观点。
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突破 ATH 后需要注意的阻力位是多少?$ T0 y/ Y' x# C/ E0 Z% a
局部范围(紫色)和不平衡(白色)都被令人信服地打破了。如果这种势头持续下去,73,700 美元的高点可能很快就会被扫除。 @ N2 \. J3 b& o4 \, }
# S" Y; w/ Q9 E) ` ]RSI 尚未突破 70,这将是 BTC 在历史高点附近占据看涨主导地位的强烈信号。: b8 i Y2 l- v0 m" c1 R7 r
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CMF 飙升至 +0.05 以上,表明资本大量流入和需求增加。
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9 {8 h5 J" ] r斐波那契扩展位(浅HS)显示 79.2 万美元、8.81 万美元和 9.7 万美元是下一个需要关注的阻力位。5 z; G3 s$ Q& f8 a
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