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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
[复制链接]
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
- o% ^- K/ f% b6 R2 U/ B
6 j& H! o6 B* j1 e1 c1 e过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。9 W8 u" H: ]; C0 e# c5 `) P: s
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当& }* T* m0 [8 i5 ^ S5 h& ~3 Q
* s# ^$ L$ j- x7 V6 d; C天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场
! S0 ^ _8 K0 @0 E. L/ D9 Z
& X' d3 q3 r9 n& m3 d! L; R5 V% w4 A6 P处于健康的看涨状态。6 i/ F; z2 u3 |0 h
# }3 G& q0 M* }AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬- U! W% O+ a# Y# o
( o* h, K- q. m* `" ]: C! `* ^短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF5 ^ K/ z+ j d
/ _* T% r4 G; b7 O& k4 i6 @获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。# Z$ F% O/ B) a; S
" J3 t0 o- o3 D0 [8 k% H" ^3 J( L
AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
4 @: B: T) I- x5 M) ~% w( o# v% i
Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提- O7 r# E6 q$ c) @/ E
9 A1 I8 C5 g8 z2 i* r5 V0 `及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。
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其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较! _* M, h+ P0 E) s; ~1 d
: ~+ s" |" z5 m4 f& T0 `5 T/ m4 E3 u低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
! S( h4 V; h* R7 A) U, W$ ?1 u0 ~( Q) q- e c- w
劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
8 O9 }3 V- M$ G P& `. c, j) W* \4 I5 _( R4 C6 e; e3 E" B
然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF
, h1 {5 Q, b! @& N: `: x. [0 G8 }) p7 R! S
申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。- N3 t# S) |/ G6 @7 r) w- `
( a8 i2 u& e' _/ u虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
1 I1 ~0 F( A# T7 u/ H2 c) |+ D6 u6 Y9 n9 j T" z
NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
8 T; e z5 F8 P" E
1 O( T2 ^: w' B6 Q, r6 f- i* n5 d绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法% g! J2 X! Z! Z* \. J& T1 v
" d; Y s4 a. N! c继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
$ K0 _) I3 b) `7 X$ s# [$ @
# E" j/ Z% c% e! M, h/ p3 ~" ~; a# m
因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的' U( p, W- r" X4 H1 {) I
1 H1 z- |5 E, `2 M关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
" N" X/ A! C2 l" k, E4 k9 o% h1 z. s/ w3 t. i
1 h4 s( Y+ g. P5 y; m( y1 w |
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