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小分3种情况:) k/ O; A P, s( g# v5 d
; M' L5 a3 i* |7 V6 N: x5 H# V
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。( x, j/ Z# X# _
# B9 s0 G; I6 _1 f
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
: c) z2 k& l- F- X, X; Q; v4 N9 d& i/ E- x d- C% q
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。
* s6 s8 |! g. K* h; W! g) d! a) _7 l( V" E
2张牌8或9点的情况有:5 B+ W$ n; D# ~5 T& G
# }3 Z4 f/ o) ^4 @( A6 a) M
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
* @7 q2 S3 ]' G, a8 [: y* s% _' c* Q& E T0 S7 O7 }# A' t2 w5 U1 `
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415$ o5 E" B2 @1 k! @: j% ]
K. Q( J3 j Z$ [
4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415/ ]' b+ Y/ w$ `9 i3 L
9 g5 x/ n5 y( V
8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/4158 ]* `8 `. G% x: M4 E! g! Z/ z- v
6 t2 d/ K# _( M+ Y1 {" M4 [
由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。3 g! s- R+ V% L# v! R+ a$ g* T
) p! A1 L6 P$ z7 H4 a7 ~通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
6 l4 |/ l2 X" q5 D) `! m( K) ]5 S! S* l& I, g! ^5 `3 C
那么我们可以得出: k* I% r% R* N8 a0 Q; o( |
/ _# L1 y+ l! V. o0 ^- D9 `
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.1894346628 |- J" G4 w% q5 c5 m" W7 `" ?! D0 h
' ]2 g7 f" ~' i
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 : d( Q8 N4 c. q; j# ?6 A& Y' P
* y& H2 R/ L( l9 J) |" x8 l( Y3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.0358854914 x9 \+ s% k+ _1 o4 B, T0 I7 S3 c
+ m" y* l2 a4 t; K7 S' P% |/ W所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323' x" G e) }7 K) g7 R* @; E/ T ?
. N0 g- O$ m4 t0 X' k4 X百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677) j* f0 b' ?3 ]6 i; l# x: R# }' G6 E
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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