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9.林迪效应
7 E1 ?* w; p! P* c& w# U2 W; o9 ^持续时间越长，持续的可能性就越大。很难说哪些币会在 20 年后还在，但 BTC 和以太坊很有可能会。因此，它们是最安全的投资选择。
1 y: O4 R* h* r5 E5 _# q* m4 b
5 w7 O* F: @2 d( s( O" TDeFi 黑客和漏洞很多，因此，如果您要抵押资产，那么选择具有林迪效应的协议，如Aave等是有意义的。如果它们是可破解的，那早就发生了。
! g+ i2 \7 p8 ~' D! _, q. T
2 X$ s) `7 S2 I10.自我保护原则。. m, @, V a# B/ J
7 X4 _. t( m. T% m痛苦和恐惧是所有生物体不可分割的一部分，而自我保护是确保它们生存的行为。我不相信 3,3 或“HODL”的概念（3，3是一种庞氏经济学原则，意味着如果大家都卖，大家都有美好的未来；而HODL则是互相鼓励拿住，大家就都有美好的未来）。# V+ w; ^9 k, m6 H" g
- d: N5 M" ~- p( {* @1 O W' _
当事情变得艰难时，人们总是会把自己放在第一位。
# b) a# ]2 ]5 s% u+ F( x" r5 R
1 O" ]$ t3 D& L8 M10.抓住重点原则
8 P7 }& u" s7 T$ ]0 q7 m重要资源总是稀缺。比如：
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# G7 `0 R" y8 E5 S5 O• 视频网站为内容而战。" B. W- c) _/ D7 L1 B5 L
8 o x5 X" d: @9 _
• 世界为石油和稀缺资源而战。9 o; J0 \- w. H9 x5 m
2 Z( P- O/ F3 m1 t% xCRV战争中，稳定币的流动性是宝贵资源，我们看到协议在争夺 CRV / CVX 代币。那么，未来协议将争取的最宝贵资源是什么？
. L# Q$ O( Q+ X/ m. u4 r, X& c' _
11.二阶效果原则。" O7 |! y; M1 r6 Y8 g+ K6 R
每个动作都有一个后果，而后果之后其他还有后果。& t3 a W, i/ ~. {4 V
/ a2 ?0 ^% F6 |* i A2 t m多想一步！如，代币希望减少释放来减缓通胀。5 ?' G. N' Y" _9 J2 @" V: a
+ @$ J6 ^4 _( C- t但二阶效果是：apy降低，人们可能离开——除非代币有足够的作用或其他激励措施。5 j4 Z! ^: H* D9 Q! D' u
5 @0 m' g/ E/ Z. S4 s* H9 ^警惕：我们不擅长长期思考。
" @; L, \# A& T3 c- Q3 ?3 m, _0 i2 D8 e5 f" g E; ^
12.冲浪原则8 ~2 U! T; a6 s: J: q
您需要及早发现趋势，尽可能努力地驾驭它们，并在它停止之前离开。' H* x' m: U5 d! z' u: [, E
% s1 T3 J" k% Q& M8 e5 k4 \, r! [及早识别和利用趋势：
( o: O5 _8 K/ _" F- G. a2 `0 Z/ ?; k* X6 Z+ q* O- t( s' u
• 亚马逊抓住互联网浪潮。
3 ]) ]& {3 h3 x9 Q+ f. n% w
1 e+ l }% F; o1 P• Netflix 转向流媒体。
9 q! x+ h- T2 x8 C1 u m* n* D6 P* u% {: P* S- T! a* T
在加密货币中：
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3 k( ~2 y! ~3 b8 W, @• 及早发现趋势（发现浪潮）+ P+ O+ G2 N" O M/ J c: m
/ h2 @& m) N3 \: d• 投资（顺势而为）
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, K4 c6 {% v$ u1 E+ |6 \• 一路获利。（在它崩溃之前离开浪潮）
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13.先行者和后行者优势4 s: i( Q: Q1 ~, ~8 R! S8 v2 h: h
协议先行进入市场可能会带来优势。& D+ R9 N! V. C+ v
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要么通过品牌认知、转换成本，要么提前购买资源。
% u( P0 l* ` a0 r4 Q' T; O
- ?4 ` h# N: }2 j0 Z而后行者，能改进技术，因此我们过一段时间就能看到一个L1。
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当前离线
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( T4 z5 h; \4 I
长期投资追求的就是稳妥~ |
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