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[lastpost] => 2798799 期权数据显示，比特币到6月底有30%的概率跌破8万美元。（转） 1768897287 人生如赌
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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.2凌晨 缩表当日 市场表现不及预期 前期恐慌兑现不够 筑底过程或将延长
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情况暂时看，并没有预期那么好。
" M" l3 g: [0 S- Z. ^4 v虽然白盘及周末都未出现深度回踩。 * O2 U( E9 S l0 w2 y
但在缩表当日、美股没有兑现靴子落地。 / S2 }/ ^. Z- |) e
反之、直接漫漫下行。
0 m: y) b5 U) I, Z$ z+ t虽恐慌并没有加剧、但多头迎来了一盆冷水、。
( L+ d5 }1 n! w7 z& ?) |$ {3 R而近两日，一直给出的31000以太1900点下方稳健接多、 4 v% ~' p! |1 a, E
需要从长计议。
$ F* d6 U' F! n+ }* q9 ?9 b3 ^8 ~凌晨首先，回踩做多思路需纠正。 / Q) }( s2 J! m* n4 t; ?
缩表当日美股走势，甚至不及5.5号6月议息，没有靴子落地效应，等冲高走势。
5 ~: ~9 V7 X J7 ]充分说明市场孱弱性！
9 q* q- P' X: ]4 S8 R7 Q& e) ]那这里围绕三万点的筑底阶段，或将延长。 ) O3 i9 p, D& l' ~
还会有一个比较漫长的低位弱势横盘整理。
2 [" i z7 j& P) C$ N* d5 T深跌破位暂不看，但行情极难抬头是真。 , z; {# C( X5 k$ l
而近两天传递的消息、
# f# j. B$ s9 c例如拜登上任首次会见鲍威尔、耶伦甩锅等。
2 }& H. r7 ^6 r' `# `" d或许是铺垫，通胀要紧，软着陆难度大。
- X4 ]' t4 ?, M切记注意、
$ z. e+ p# O9 e$ B N3 V短线回踩做多思路及时纠正、现货进场。仓位均匀可留。
4 J9 p, c b R短线暂以反弹高空为主。 : ]# u' s4 d7 U; M7 X
（恐慌是否加剧、需参考美股近几日走势。）
# A! }; K; I# T, K凌晨高空点、 2 y- e- L0 K% J- Y8 I& ~' |+ N
4小时阴线中轨偏下、
2 ~. p/ d2 Y. L' _ I; D4 U31000激进高空点 ' {% Q0 f E; m7 }! d1 u
31280补仓点 l# v' a3 P* E
防守31500
0 T# d( r! l6 v) @/ w( ^目标30300-30000-29800 , }: `( O) D# `. \, h' I
以太1890-1900激进高空
+ M% S0 W# j8 u+ M' d6 I0 u6 s稳健亦补仓点1920 1 f2 L! C, x* J" J) \) Y) W* B. b
防守1940
( P/ z. z4 \$ r! O3 ?" g- y目标1850-1820-1790
S* R, K0 J2 Z3 t" E0 |6月缩表及加息、早在5月市场已经铺垫承受过。
& p7 ^, v4 J, E+ X但切实接触、市场情绪仍一击而溃、
( Q' }) b1 Y5 J* X0 p& U# R说明几点、 ' m9 F3 p3 U' P
市场做多共识不够、 4 R2 W8 s) ^1 k; G% {
对接下来的缩表周期、市场成分是有心无力。| # a) s4 w/ d/ w
市场信仰、再没有资金注入、短期是空头支票。
; ~7 w6 w2 e& Z1 W- A7 Q3 j近几日、一再强调勿追涨、 & d; F4 t% T6 t% _
只是未料到、市场前期利空兑现、依旧不够。
! ^4 K$ y" S' C7 Z* W& b$ \) G启动缩表，仍就需要看到通胀明显控制才可罢休。 i E" j: q/ h
来源：金色财经 |
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