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[lastpost] => 2809204 比特币做市商如何将一次例行调整演变成向 6 万美元的暴跌（转） 1772684393 舞出精彩
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近日中东局势紧张，避险情绪升温，收市前金、银、油价格已齐齐走高。
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( ]$ V6 L' S7 H9 d2月28日，美国开始在伊朗实施重大作战行动。
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/ ]9 X: t$ f; W2 N! R. w; W消息传出后，加密货币大幅跳水，比特币直线暴跌，一度跌破63500美元，主流币种集体跳水。
. i# U" o8 t1 b" b" T* x4 S; I: C, G, j3 _+ ~# D( r% A1 n" @# Z
避险资产黄金、白银及原油则在上周五周末休市前已强势走高，市场普遍预期下周开盘后，大宗商品市场将出现剧烈波动。$ a# y1 ?& a6 b; v
8 a4 _( t1 J1 S1 `+ j/ M8 J, U2月27日收市前，国际金、银、油价格已齐齐走高。其中伦敦收报每盎司5278美元，盘中最高触及每盎司5281美元；一度突破94美元。0 N4 q% b. X% q3 E$ z) G, D1 X
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原油市场同样反应激烈。由于中东局势急转直下，市场担忧原油供应面临直接威胁，截至当天收盘，美国价格收于每桶67.02美元，涨幅为2.78%；伦敦价格收于每桶72.48美元，涨幅为2.45%。地缘风险溢价已迅速计入油价。
. p3 e% G! z4 H: |7 S2 ?) E. ?' T6 F. |. z- o) E2 u
随着周末休市，交易员们虽暂时离场，但对下周开盘后的行情预判却未停止。一位交易人士对记者称，本次中东冲突的烈度与持续性，将成为左右下周金融市场的核心变量。目前市场普遍预期，下周国际与油价可能出现较大波动。" C! V3 j b9 P7 V4 _1 i" H- C
H6 @3 R+ ]& h, y, I" M% w“对于黄金而言，若冲突持续升级，避险资金将进一步涌入，金价有望挑战新高，”上述交易人士进一步分析称，但局势不确定性大，也需警惕获利盘了结带来的回调压力。
" f' p. n; ?# ~, `" Z+ H$ I3 s; B
. H% ~( q5 f* z. O对于原油，情况更为复杂。当前油价上涨的核心驱动是地缘冲突预期带来的风险溢价。地处霍尔木兹海峡承担着全球约20%的原油海运贸易，目前市场对其航运安全十分敏感，甚至不需要实际的供应中断，就会推高油价。
% T" s" v" i( B1 C5 Z! I. i2 ~' `$ X! E9 C+ U6 E, Q; E
北京师范大学教授万喆表示，当前全球原油市场的基本面是供应过剩的，油价上涨已完全脱离了供需的基本面，如果局势发生缓和，价格也有可能会快速回调。6 s3 T7 S" m7 s# X5 U; M0 ]
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中东局势一紧张，果然避险资产先涨了，资金都往这跑啊 |
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这波避险行情真带感，加密币崩了，金银油直接起飞，得赶紧瞅瞅仓位 |
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- T1 w0 P. ~% j
如果你试水的没有跑掉，现在可不止是一顿火锅了 |
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