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[lastpost] => 2804574 韩国加密货币公司意外向用户发送了价值 440 亿美元的比特币（转） 1770615496 舞出精彩
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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6 T. Q/ e9 b, M0 l, x0 s" K 比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。8 r- M _& }) Q& v
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9 k7 F! X$ E5 v. b& h2 n+ ^* Y; O 比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续! H9 a/ h1 w* h4 G _
" f+ w t4 e; Z; y( w. u; m Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。5 p) O* s* u! v$ j) B/ H' `
( e. I& F. F3 q" @, X6 ?1 n6 [: c 尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。
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针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，. ]+ x& D9 k$ M. u" M, l4 I* u# r* U
9 v- `8 u/ P% l价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。9 ^" \8 ]$ j* b- x( x' g7 _9 _
/ _! n6 ?1 f, E/ B# ` “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”& o+ M" D; Z* B& @& y! `
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* } i8 S6 ^7 ~" a7 ~$ Q# h 知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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“$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”6 G1 ~+ `0 C% f
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- z& i/ `9 {! r1 ^) R 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。
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- y( K- }$ U# b/ g2 l/ W 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。4 y( L! H' s" V1 W6 V9 G7 j
9 t: a3 j! J8 z- h' W 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势2 V$ _" B% b4 i
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当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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5 m& X2 G9 r2 Q7 a 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”4 e J- ]. F% ?* q8 `$ U
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