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[虚拟币交流]
58亿美元期权风暴来袭！比特币能否站稳6.5万美元关键点位？（转）
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在周五价值逾58亿美元的期权合约到期前，比特币在四周内首次突破6.5万美元。一些分析师表示，期权到期可能导致加密货币市场的波动性加剧。
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Cumberland Labs研究主管Chris Newhouse表示，比特币跌破这一价格水平将引发大幅下跌，而持续突破之后可能会出现反弹。, \& S7 L) t; s) m2 i
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Newhouse表示：“比特币现在处于6.5万美元的水平，并正在慢慢测试更高价位，要么突破并维持在这个价位，要么不突破并出现大幅下跌。我们已经转向一个更以微观结构为主导的交易环境，在这个环境中，
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1 U5 ~5 @' F. a5 `3 K; r7 D3 u清算、融资利率和对波动性的投机是价格的主要驱动因素。”
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% Z6 `' h" U1 Q I" r! v( L2 M" ?比特币周四一度上涨3.7%，至65,826美元，为自7月30日以来的最高水平，随后回吐涨幅。规模较小、流动性较差的代币上涨幅度更大，其中狗狗币上涨超过9%，Solana上涨5%，Avalanche上涨6.5%。
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. t1 q' u+ z0 w- m/ iNewhouse表示，从历史上看，比特币在8月和9月的阻力位一直是6.5万美元。“我们正在重新测试它。”+ u1 T1 N5 X( O1 l) h
2 L4 C5 L$ Z( ~. ~/ r+ k7 i; D" h在期权市场，交易商将面临周五到期的逾58亿美元合约。+ M7 g G& G4 p* y# @: s+ W% L% m( B B
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加密衍生品交易所Deribit首席执行官Luuk Strijers表示:“在到期的比特币期权中，约有20%是价内期权。随着交易员平仓或展期，这种大规模的期权到期可能加剧市场波动或活动，这也可能影响价格。”
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4 o5 X* \" B }3 a/ U根据Deribit编制的数据，在所有到期合约中，比特币期权的未平仓合约集中在10万美元、9万美元、7万美元和6.5万美元左右。7 E c: r0 X; c
- j3 M4 @5 i4 _# q" }Vertex 首席执行官兼联合创始人Darius Tabai 表示：“由于伽马对冲将市场控制在6万美元和6.5万美元附近，市场应该会在到期前出现波动。”& s* Z" o; W, ~
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随着投资者涌入期权市场，提供此类合约的交易商要么大量买入，要么大量卖出，以抵消他们快速变化的风险敞口——这种动态被称为“伽马对冲”。
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