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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 12614 小时
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2024年比特币将迎来三重利好：减半、比特币生态崛起、美联储降息预期。
# {3 T, ?7 W" ?$ u$ ?+ U, W, b3 F2 V0 }9 A# }* |6 o
1）比特币miner reward每4年发生一次减半，前三次减半的半年时间里，比特
8 D: ^ N; O+ P/ ]9 j' ^
, H6 b7 I" d+ F0 _2 M I$ a6 G币币价都显著增长，预计今年4月将迎来第4次减半。- _& V! m: }2 ]8 ]% H+ S7 K
! A1 F- O# s4 D; |
2）2022年12月Ordinals（一种基于比特币的数字内容编码方式）推出后，Ordinals% B9 _* y- L* G! q* H
6 {9 n I% o' }7 f
用户群激增，链上无数新老协议层出不穷，带动了比特币生态的强势发展，也推动4 @- ?8 ?+ M8 m6 [$ t
. I/ S" u5 `4 J3 q: i! m
比特币链上手续费6年以来首次超过了以太坊。
' R: S. x/ I" g* l
. y8 ~% E* t2 P( R# l/ l3 i3）FED Reserve Board成员预计，2024年美国实际GDP增速或为1.4%、联邦基金/ g1 E, Y1 H8 W0 R. ^. {
% q7 n' x/ G* @. C L' m
利率或为4.6%（2023年为5.4%）。降息或引发美元供应量增长、美元贬值，比特
. o/ _* `% g) R: M6 e" H/ z! ^/ U1 G: v
币因其抗通胀效果或迎来更多需求。
5 s- f( w; o4 i4 G' z' Z5 H比特币现货ETF获批也对海外相关上市公司股价产生影响，主要为挖矿企业、交易平* V E, k' D* G+ V
3 S' P+ ^) h, S- [0 L- A+ S
台和持币企业。挖矿企业的商业模式可以总结为“前期投入-后期收割”，随着比特币& o' r, {8 L- ?+ A; J0 p+ d
2 q7 z9 d6 s' h7 e; D
生态完善和交易量增长，前期投入逐步摊薄，而后期收益或稳定增长；交易平台收3 j) d" {* f9 ^% J' d, f
9 g8 P* }' v7 p1 H) S入来自交易佣金，具有“卖水人”特点，头部交易平台凭借规模优势建立竞争壁垒；; k6 _+ \7 K, D( ^7 N7 Q9 G- M9 I) E
; `1 d) V4 S2 a& G# O5 R3 w持币公司早期以相对较低的成本购入大量比特币，享受资本利得。
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% \2 Z. |9 q, r8 @ @+ z4 P; I* R" c6 q
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这个交易平台挺好用，反正吧都是需要谨慎安全第一啊！ |
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当前离线
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三重利好的可是有今年的啊3 k* P; v" p& i% l
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