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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
+ Y" _" o# u8 A! F% D) r
# |# |; @+ E9 o& T0 e$ F. a" ]过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。: f' Z8 A- F5 E3 O1 D# _
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当
( ?8 @4 N! t- \" q0 N) H) r7 o4 g; [, x, E# A5 e( U
天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场
$ Y6 w5 x% F# D$ H6 E. u# z" V+ R; m& e2 y) F9 P: q
处于健康的看涨状态。1 s/ R7 B* v- ?* d5 ^
# E. P3 I. \0 y. U) ]AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬8 s0 A6 m$ h/ H
- D3 z# [( \6 L短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF
0 U" S2 x+ I2 E+ O5 R. }3 F! n x0 ~/ m" Q5 Q& l
获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。1 ], [3 R+ i, I, \1 }* f& c
; n2 E3 O3 T1 K2 nAMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
; _, ^7 M2 Q6 b7 h
& |5 n1 Z: D5 U" T- M9 aCoinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提) N# Y* ~/ b! `" X! x$ c
. {6 E. B, ]/ c9 x4 D- n# e
及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。8 k' \9 M3 X3 o' ~
|* l% W+ \" ]: o' I% p" f* W其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
4 B( I3 E, A( z0 @
f6 b; B9 ], q低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强( q6 \( \9 V+ e5 Q9 V
9 Y; ]( ~& n$ {+ ^1 P E, L
劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
% ?# n; S: j, ^% o" x
0 {& o9 g* L, e- ]/ L7 P5 k然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF" h. I# y' {3 [" M
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申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。2 d/ ]2 Q+ u) o8 @( Y$ ]% a. w
, J6 L* p1 Z$ b0 k d- b+ ]虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
\* j. }$ }( z0 s6 z+ T+ n# d& Y- a: w9 w: g
NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不, R$ m$ x; y8 q3 y, s+ u0 ~: a+ ^8 X0 v
8 y# n+ d: ?6 l8 R. h' ^绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法9 ?9 ], K/ ?5 P) f/ p4 w% u7 a; C. g( s' ]
/ |7 W7 B- E C& ^# I* y继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。+ M) G6 ^$ _1 O% f6 h
5 M- z7 W/ I8 _* h/ t C5 a
# T- a9 v1 g# H' U, O% w5 t) k. i因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的) U/ Y) N0 b e, F8 l
+ s2 _; G3 S& `. Q! F/ b0 t8 b关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。7 b( C$ `0 p+ X* L. H. C$ a$ h
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