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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2， r3 O. l% c c* A; U8 T. a8 N9 s
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比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？+ n. z) u2 y# m% |/ ^3 F* i
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
1 v6 t. d9 d# R4 W) ?) j; x/ V$ @" {# R
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在# r7 j7 \5 Q; S- E; |8 n& h* P
; [ t( \- Z7 X6 }) C( q
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
* J6 ~6 L s8 ^0 ~* i1 ~. F9 [& T: g4 B5 u& [2 b
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全) X$ K4 s+ k" H$ O, b6 Q& [. {
) G3 L+ j P! b- M9 H0 Y! n: W- q) c去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长# A5 y' z) R# i/ R$ u1 X) v0 f2 d; a
' N6 M- {- r, i, @( M5 C7 r6 F9 n
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH . S1 v" E8 Z/ U# h$ I* H
' `$ ~$ U- [( L& m5 i( `
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和5 J+ z: u. c2 R( Z. ?; k6 x+ s
/ @" a6 u" d9 Y
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿" A4 l, _+ [+ `* E8 P
* f8 G5 J$ g4 T& f' C0 B1 v美金）。
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1 U& k6 j1 r0 K+ [) N. U2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态9 r g& X, o7 C$ i, }
8 @! ?. n! X- A$ x+ k3 j$ c
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去7 c# v3 m% _$ J( D7 Y" L; S9 ?
% T1 |* g0 t; m, n4 F w
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
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( G9 `# k+ [8 R% X5 I, P2 }3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
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尤其大资金的信任和青睐。" g- l" K( i' S V% i0 G& r
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4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL) `* c( _2 s& Z
; P9 G j7 r$ [0 p, q
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如0 A- S! o! ?2 P. n: G
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果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美( J3 K. u, p! m( t
, _# b) E& u! g. j: X
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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