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德州扑克前40手起手牌的一些统计数字
" b$ g* {6 X7 {1 V' A" o x7 p| 起手牌 | 赢的概率 | 平均收益 | 期望值 | 获牌机率 | | Cards | Probability of Win | Average Win | Expected Value | Probability | | Pair of A’s | 31.36% | 9.91 | 2.1071 | 0.45% | | Pair of K’s | 26.43% | 9.87 | 1.6079 | 0.45% | | Pair of Q’s | 22.66% | 9.81 | 1.2224 | 0.45% | | A/K suited | 21.73% | 9.52 | 1.0688 | 0.30% | | Pair of J’s | 19.84% | 9.74 | 0.9318 | 0.45% | | A/Q suited | 20.44% | 9.41 | 0.9239 | 0.30% | | K/Q suited | 19.80% | 9.41 | 0.8639 | 0.30% | | A/J suited | 19.51% | 9.31 | 0.8159 | 0.30% | | K/J suited | 18.94% | 9.31 | 0.7636 | 0.30% | | A/T suited | 18.87% | 9.2 | 0.7353 | 0.30% | | Q/J suited | 18.55% | 9.28 | 0.7217 | 0.30% | | A/K unsuited | 18.29% | 9.41 | 0.7209 | 0.90% | | Pair of T’s | 17.76% | 9.65 | 0.7145 | 0.45% | | K/T suited | 18.34% | 9.21 | 0.689 | 0.30% | | Q/T suited | 18.04% | 9.19 | 0.6577 | 0.30% | | J/T suited | 18.07% | 9.16 | 0.6552 | 0.30% | | Pair of 9’s | 16.05% | 9.69 | 0.5559 | 0.45% | | A/Q unsuited | 16.78% | 9.26 | 0.5539 | 0.90% | | A/9 suited | 16.87% | 9.12 | 0.5377 | 0.30% | | K/Q unsuited | 16.30% | 9.26 | 0.5098 | 0.90% | | K/9 suited | 16.22% | 9.16 | 0.4854 | 0.30% | | T/9 suited | 16.33% | 9.09 | 0.485 | 0.30% | | A/8 suited | 16.34% | 9.03 | 0.4756 | 0.30% | | J/9 suited | 15.96% | 9.12 | 0.4561 | 0.30% | | Q/9 suited | 15.89% | 9.14 | 0.4527 | 0.30% | | Pair of 8’s | 14.96% | 9.67 | 0.4471 | 0.45% | | A/5 suited | 16.23% | 8.9 | 0.4447 | 0.30% | | A/J unsuited | 15.70% | 9.1 | 0.4291 | 0.90% | | A/7 suited | 15.93% | 8.96 | 0.4272 | 0.30% | | A/4 suited | 15.88% | 8.94 | 0.4205 | 0.30% | | A/3 suited | 15.51% | 9 | 0.3957 | 0.30% | | K/J unsuited | 15.30% | 9.11 | 0.3944 | 0.90% | | A/6 suited | 15.62% | 8.91 | 0.3916 | 0.30% | | Q/J unsuited | 15.07% | 9.08 | 0.3687 | 0.90% | | Pair of 7’s | 14.14% | 9.65 | 0.3647 | 0.45% | | A/2 suited | 15.02% | 9.04 | 0.3579 | 0.30% | | K/8 suited | 15.03% | 9.03 | 0.3568 | 0.30% | | T/8 suited | 15.05% | 9 | 0.3556 | 0.30% | | 9/8 suited | 14.69% | 9.11 | 0.3388 | 0.30% | | A/T unsuited | 14.93% | 8.94 | 0.3353 | 0.90% | 9 ?# j- m1 }9 U* P% P
德州扑克游戏过程中的概率
" n1 }- h% w. p2 d玩德州扑克过程中,一副牌形成的可能性有多大,对你下一步采取什么样的行动至关重要。一副牌形成的可能性有多大可以用成牌概率来计算。形成同花或顺子的机会有多大,拿到一张大牌的可能性有多少,当你手中握有一对时,悬牌形成三张同号的百分比为几,这些概率学上的知识对于德州扑克一轮牌的输赢非常关键,这些概率的计算决定你下一步是下注,跟注,加注还是弃牌。
% h* A. b; _ p( U5 I( {$ W! _5 w' {; y6 ^# ] R/ T; ^; I: a
下表列出了德州扑克游戏过程中经常用到的一些概率术语3 P4 `1 |8 V1 ]: @) G, a
, O3 f; w1 V( Z0 N8 M! S补牌总数; N: G5 }) g; Y' R5 T/ \3 D( i% a' I
Outs
8 X' v4 t8 Y: j- r h未知牌中可以完成你一副特定牌型的牌数" r9 j5 ~( P) `, m b
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,在未知牌中我有9张补牌(9张红桃牌)完成我的红桃同花”
+ a! ~' w& i8 k. M1 z& e: n4 B' H* \) o/ D
成牌概率
( ~* L" D; ^' q8 M5 [1 B0 ^Hand Odds1 s% g0 D1 V4 f" f4 C- d$ w& `' {
形成一手特定牌型的概率
' `9 {3 ~+ J& ?' Q1 O4 e“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,我完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1”$ D. U9 g! | ^2 k& g/ F' B
+ U: R: G8 U. _& h6 ?" J
总注概率
- U+ [/ \) L' a6 a# z: [8 Y" z j# ]Pot Odds
, _+ a3 ^- G* Y' G& D3 J你下一步所下赌注与桌面上总赌注的百分比 “桌面上总赌注已达$200,我只要下$10赌注就可以进入下一轮,如果我能完成我的顺子,赌注概率对我非常有利。2 Z0 y/ k; w+ X* Q7 a8 r
' _! h/ X. L. j7 H# O7 n! ^$ p
下注概率! Z0 ^. j' J! }8 e1 L1 E) J P
Bet Odds
! ^4 }9 V6 s1 E N- J你下注以后,根据后面跟注玩家的人数而计算出的一种输赢概率! }5 N% h+ E$ Q I
“我有五分之一的机会赢这手牌,我下注以后,有6个玩家会跟注,下注概率对我有利”
5 ` B& R: \# E V3 A3 o" F: `( Q+ o0 j" h; h2 A0 u
隐含概率, ]+ A" O' k( A. g5 E$ }
Implied Odds
9 t9 s. f, E1 B( | F( t d通过猜测其它玩家下一步所采取的行动而计算出的一种输赢概率' M/ I3 h0 N2 |
“我猜测这些玩家在看到转牌与河牌之后都会跟注,因此隐含概率对我非常有利”
0 ~/ n0 ]# ^# U6 R. t9 S3 c* V$ S
" H' _2 O* z0 l3 @7 h5 V1 e: h7 q4 S
下面举一个简单的例子,说明这些概率知识的重要性:
3 M% A4 a) Y6 V1 `# S3 r; R转牌翻开以后,你有四张红桃,你完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1,你相信同花会赢这轮牌,而这时的总赌注为$200,你只要再跟注$20就可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比200,即为十分之一,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$200,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你1次赢钱的总数远大于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要跟牌而不是弃牌。
3 b0 w. X0 p. B. q8 V0 t+ N- n, E3 M+ J7 c& B8 W+ t4 k! m" b' p
反过来,如果这时的总赌注为$60,而你要跟注$20才可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比60,即为3分之1,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$60,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你一次赢钱的总数小于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要弃牌而不是跟牌。
4 p! ^ k: n0 u7 X+ y/ |1 A% c; R$ Y9 `1 Q7 X% o; }8 [
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