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9.林迪效应
4 J5 V3 k$ `+ Y4 ~持续时间越长，持续的可能性就越大。很难说哪些币会在 20 年后还在，但 BTC 和以太坊很有可能会。因此，它们是最安全的投资选择。
) r# h" `* l# ?5 X% g% |* y% K! q" E' g. @2 [ K) K+ B
DeFi 黑客和漏洞很多，因此，如果您要抵押资产，那么选择具有林迪效应的协议，如Aave等是有意义的。如果它们是可破解的，那早就发生了。- J# e3 K. L m9 A7 n
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10.自我保护原则。
& |% ^8 R! G4 W m. |' x: ]1 p) h2 F& B% ~3 U
痛苦和恐惧是所有生物体不可分割的一部分，而自我保护是确保它们生存的行为。我不相信 3,3 或“HODL”的概念（3，3是一种庞氏经济学原则，意味着如果大家都卖，大家都有美好的未来；而HODL则是互相鼓励拿住，大家就都有美好的未来）。8 q/ S" G+ v! j/ M
. N& W( ?6 U, S) C: o C9 d# k. f当事情变得艰难时，人们总是会把自己放在第一位。
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% A% K, b- m- m) C10.抓住重点原则2 E" z# _* J9 |
重要资源总是稀缺。比如：
! |# v$ \# f9 [ R0 D5 T4 O
, S1 T# f; @( P2 L' S7 o• 视频网站为内容而战。
) I) T) u# ?- M! f3 `0 `( U0 M& N
, A7 ~. s+ i# l8 u• 世界为石油和稀缺资源而战。
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CRV战争中，稳定币的流动性是宝贵资源，我们看到协议在争夺 CRV / CVX 代币。那么，未来协议将争取的最宝贵资源是什么？
2 d4 i7 U8 z( ], m
n X I7 L" V" H; X11.二阶效果原则。! m# l7 ^+ ^* ]. |. X" @$ k9 `
每个动作都有一个后果，而后果之后其他还有后果。0 p6 X) z D/ o' ~8 O9 d3 B
% ?$ t2 @ N3 D/ v多想一步！如，代币希望减少释放来减缓通胀。, F8 B# W" i& i* c" R( H
" w- b5 y0 s$ Z3 E3 x0 H- ?# }% ^4 J$ t但二阶效果是：apy降低，人们可能离开——除非代币有足够的作用或其他激励措施。
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. l& G! C% {( y; k# ~警惕：我们不擅长长期思考。8 A( _9 Y: a ?. @ ?
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12.冲浪原则$ E$ F8 Z; I- }! d0 H) u% c2 }
您需要及早发现趋势，尽可能努力地驾驭它们，并在它停止之前离开。* ~" D+ z- F2 A) k) G' l, {0 s
3 J8 \& `/ i: g/ R6 c3 ]/ ^
及早识别和利用趋势：
% @* {6 X+ T3 g: _8 _6 ~7 S" L& y6 } Q' u* X
• 亚马逊抓住互联网浪潮。
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- O6 [) u, t6 c% u• Netflix 转向流媒体。$ H6 O2 r; m2 R5 R4 T
7 D, f/ ~) ]% {' x: Q% ]4 }
在加密货币中：) A7 V- D8 n8 \" I5 L
4 ~! @ n/ |* q• 及早发现趋势（发现浪潮）8 L, i* F2 R) c5 M0 O- q
5 U" E2 k& G8 X. D' o% m* w+ m
• 投资（顺势而为）) L8 I6 o6 m" v% ]5 t7 p
$ Y( z- ~, M, n; W• 一路获利。（在它崩溃之前离开浪潮）% e n8 [( g8 C
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13.先行者和后行者优势' X, |" o+ e9 k+ z0 I5 p9 Z
协议先行进入市场可能会带来优势。" j/ W1 Z$ a" t% _! P% H
" d1 k, V; b3 L6 ]% L! E/ ]要么通过品牌认知、转换成本，要么提前购买资源。
$ |, q2 J! H) U( @; S8 M @( d
% ?+ x5 |( l1 U0 w# b0 @" _而后行者，能改进技术，因此我们过一段时间就能看到一个L1。4 c4 c0 A/ K5 d: N
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% J* l4 K! v: o
长期投资追求的就是稳妥~ |
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