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[lastpost] => 2806611 加密货币再添寒意!“比特币牛市旗手”大砍2026年目标价（转） 1771036060 龙飞凤舞789
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币分析：看跌趋势线成为焦点，看涨者关注95119美元（转）
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随着阻力趋势线主导价格走势图，比特币（BTC）价格会维持在9万美元以上吗？% C1 W- k9 Q5 N7 d9 Z% N
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比特币价格面临看跌压力，跌破93000美元，在过去24小时内下跌1.12%。CMC恐惧与贪婪指数已降至48，反映出投资者日益增长的不确定性。
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随着BTC努力突破关键阻力位，技术指标表明存在潜在的下行风险，而分析师对牛市反弹的可能性仍存在分歧。) |# P3 @, Y( n$ s
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比特币价格分析" s/ n# `" s) D* O
尊重4小时图中的长期阻力趋势线，BTC价格继续呈看跌趋势。正如我们的预期最后一篇文章，92750美元的关键支撑位未能吸收即将到来的供应 ；, t& y5 w8 _( F6 r, \/ x) h( ?
5 o+ }% {: e& K" E: B崩溃反弹几乎达到了预期的90000美元水平，跌至91315美元的低点。随着价格拒绝率的降低，BTC价格从90742美元的估计目标提前逆转。
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然而，看涨反弹至92748美元未能超过20-EMA线和阻力趋势线。这导致价格迅速回落至93000美元以下。 @- p. y+ r3 c3 ]( O7 h1 W7 ~
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目前，比特币的交易价格为92748美元，在过去4小时内小幅回升0.43%。4小时RSI线显示从超卖区域快速转向，表明有可能横向延续。4 s/ F F J0 X( d, x; E( p
% G# U3 }: s# o( n6 x' D1 u预计盘整区间将尊重90742美元的支撑区，同时努力突破阻力趋势线。
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富达在12月30日引领外流9 Z3 y+ O0 s6 w4 ~& U, H) P1 F' M
随着市场经历回落，对比特币的机构支持下降。12月30日，美国现货比特币ETF的每日净流入总额为4.2613亿美元。( T6 D9 H. U3 ~7 H+ {
. I7 S1 l* C+ U比特币交易所交易基金, |+ _# V, C' s5 u; m9 U
富达（Fidelity）领跌，流出1.5464亿美元，其次是灰度（Grayscale），流出1.345亿美元。
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2 D* s! R( Y% u0 @. U# t, IBTC价格目标
5 E% ]! m' O9 Q& B+ [随着新年的临近，越来越多的看涨预期可能会推动比特币突破阻力趋势线。
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在这种情况下，BTC价格可能会达到95119美元的即时阻力位。这非常接近50-EMA的动态平均线。
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! {6 K; V8 d E. U, E$ [" d另一方面，50-EMA与200-EMA形成了死亡交叉，预示着潜在的抛售。此外，下跌的100-EMA正在接近200-EMA，这是另一个看跌交叉事件。
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在看跌方面，跌破90742美元将为下一个支撑位86707美元打开大门。; i6 j/ }& J( b- v' }
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分析师点燃2025年的希望5 t( e0 H# H9 `+ I+ w. k& G
尽管有多个卖出信号，独立分析师阿里·马丁内斯突出显示比特币的巨大增长潜力。$ W" j. X1 e% W- l
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Martinez发现之前市场峰值的月度RSI与比特币流动性指数之间存在相关性，他预计比特币价格趋势将继续看涨。, ~0 N! C& r, K4 U
' H; \- {. o- z, |0 V( L1 ~0 X在之前的牛市高峰期，月度RSI在下一个熊市开始前达到92。目前，月度RSI线位于75，这表明正在进行的牛市比空头预期的有更多的燃料。
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Alis对比特币RSI的评论* q" L9 i7 |( D; J6 K' l, G% m) _0 E
结论: ]) D' d1 G4 a0 j% ]
比特币（BTC）价格趋势在看跌压力下挣扎，因为死亡交叉和EMA下降等技术指标预示着持续的下跌趋势。$ w/ I4 N0 _4 L& K& ]+ p
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然而，随着RSI从超卖水平回升，分析师暗示有更大的增长空间，看涨突破仍有可能，目标是95119美元的阻力位。
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