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[虚拟币交流]
比特币可能在未来两天内开始反弹至15万美元:分析(转)
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分析师Ali Martinez认为,比特币可能会在未来两天内开始反弹至15万美元,然后出现大幅回调。) Q# @$ |( Z! G0 ^
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比特币与前几周的剧烈波动不同,过去几天一直处于持有模式,没有出现重大价格变动。 w3 ^# u0 ]6 Z) g9 D: ?
& b4 u5 ~! ]: } {自11月13日比特币达到93500美元的峰值以来,它一直在努力走高。虽然它经历了温和的调整,跌至86682美元,但此后反弹至92600美元。7 s$ @/ _8 J+ g1 D4 V( D9 ^! I1 H
; w" H# c1 s4 N; s( C& F' v0 h. C在过去的六天里,比特币在8.9万美元至9.1万美元之间波动,价格没有重大变化。在这个被动市场中,参与者既谨慎又兴奋,预计会出现大幅下跌或大幅上涨。5 _! D, n- }' k
7 [8 ]6 L& p/ y5 ]% o$ n6 g) m+ L
与此同时,像Ali Martinez这样的分析师正在研究历史趋势,以预测比特币的下一个可能走势。
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9 U* T& f- ]) ^3 L T& m历史表明,比特币在大幅调整前可能达到13.8万美元
5 b z! y; s/ t A5 ?. n6 t在A更新今天早些时候,Martinez指出,在2016/2017牛市期间,比特币价格飙升了156%,超过了首次大幅调整前的历史最高点,首次大幅调整使其价值蒸发了39% ;/ w" G5 H2 G. ~. T4 a/ ]+ N, X
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同样,他指出,在2020/2021年的周期中,比特币的价值增长了121%,然后经历了32%的回调,抹去了其中的一些涨幅。基于这些观察,他认为比特币在面临首次大幅回调之前可能会达到至少13.8万美元 ;
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: J, K$ |2 ?- G: b) F% U1 f比特币牛市可能在两天内爆发,目标价为15万美元7 b/ G g; W' r$ P4 {$ l
与此同时,在后续帖子中,马丁内斯强调比特币正在密切镜像前两个牛市周期的模式。
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0 n+ l4 s3 |8 Z1 ]* X8 F' H' b他之前曾指出,在比特币上个季度夺回19700美元的峰值后,它飙升了26%,然后巩固了一周。整合之后,价格大幅上涨至40000美元。
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$ ^) `# g$ ?' K2 `3 V! ]& U6 {( |3 ^值得注意的是,在目前的情况下,比特币已经比3月份的峰值73750美元飙升了26.7%,并且自达到93500美元的新峰值以来,在过去的六天里一直在巩固。5 O) C+ d* X: @
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因此,马丁内斯相信如果历史可以作为参考的话,市场可能会在未来一两天内再次突破,目标价约为15万美元。
8 P" ^5 s3 P5 _) k4 z# A+ N8 r# K- v3 M4 B! g, e4 g# P2 x
牛市后调整期间的潜在价格目标& m. L+ z, {) Q4 P" i6 W2 A$ D
值得注意的是,15万美元的目标与比特币的历史趋势相一致,在经历约30%的大幅调整之前,比特币在超过以往的历史高点后通常会上涨100%或更多 ;
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如果这种情况发生,如果比特币首次声称15万美元目标如果峰值接近13.8万美元,则达到9.6万美元。
3 ~* a! n. @# K; Y/ B' [2 ?5 K1 C* z$ S/ H% i/ e
与此同时,Martinez强调了8.3万至8.5万美元和7.2万至7.5万美元的价格区间,作为市场从看涨转为看跌的潜在支撑区域。
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