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[虚拟币交流]
比特币:分析师预测将升至7.5万至8万美元:原因如下(转)
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比特币[BTC]价格图表显示,市场结构可能发生转变,预示着价格可能突破3月份开始的5万至7.2万美元的区间 ;; s; B# y* ^9 H. j. d# K
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据分析师称股票钱蜥蜴,区间突破可能会在两周内发生。如果是这样的话,分析师预测,如果最近跌破6万美元被辩护为“更高的低点”,比特币可能会达到7.5万至8万美元# g% O6 q, g* |" c( O
" r6 p5 q3 p% C8 m) D% E/ t“如果这一更高的低点得到证实,我们将在2周内突破这一上限阻力。下一个目标是7.5万至8万美元。”
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就背景而言,自8月以来,BTC一直在创下更高的低点,这一价格走势预示着潜在的市场结构转变,特别是如果出现更高的高点 ;' w& @) }: W/ J
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需求上升与风险
" Q% P* L# K) k, {- s7 ]3 z投资者对全球最大数字资产的兴趣也有所改善,这表明与第二季度/第三季度相比,第四季度的需求复苏缓慢但稳定。) {' @+ a0 q |5 n+ P \
( X% A$ q) k/ @9 v5 x' q从长远来看,自5月以来,BTC的需求一直是负的,卖出超过了买入。然而,CryptoQuant指出,不平衡的步伐已经放缓 ;
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2 D) e/ I( {1 i5 T- `/ H5 G- q9 o* X事实上,过去30个交易日对BTC的明显需求表明,投资者需求达到了5月份的水平。& f4 W, c+ q( i9 r1 r; J& e) C+ `
" I- O1 J# `$ m! _在9月底至10月中旬期间,约有15万BTC被投资者抢购,价值约94亿美元 ;
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因此,如果这种模式在未来两周内持续下去,不断增长的需求可能会支持Stockmoney Lizards的突破预测 ;7 h; r& Q, D2 L3 y \! Q: k5 P! y. O
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但杠杆率的上升,如未平仓合约(OI)的上升,也给突破预期带来了迫在眉睫的陷阱 ;3 Y" P/ E. f" F
8 G' J4 W, I3 \对于不熟悉的人来说,杠杆率上升意味着投机者通过借钱在期货市场开立BTC头寸来承担更多风险。
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0 K4 F) q H, s4 B根据Glassnode,最近一个周末从58.9万美元上涨到63.4万美元,一些卖空者(OI为25亿美元)纷纷抛售 ;, @) k5 R5 e6 R* I% c& Y
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然而,该分析公司还指出,OI的跌幅没有超过5%,这一水平在历史上总是会出现BTC的长期反弹。8 _% x* A! ~5 n7 q& P# a
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简而言之,价格方向两侧的波动性和清算风险加剧可能会破坏突破预期 ;
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与此同时,BTC的价值为62.8万美元,并在发稿时跌破200天移动平均线(MA)
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