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[虚拟币交流]
比特币下杀6万美元! 若贺锦丽胜选,BTC恐回测四万支撑位(转)
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" K& K, h Z( m. j. M' Z- ^3 I" m# Q: `; o$ O6 k1 l
- }5 c. b+ O Z. h8 D1 k伯恩斯坦分析师表示,尽管比特币长期看涨,但美国大选结果将在短期内影响加密货币市场走势,若川普胜选,比特币可能将触及80,000 至90,000 美元;若贺锦丽获胜,比特币可能将下跌,并测试40,000 美元支撑位。8 t) X. `4 v1 r1 S U+ C5 w# Y$ U
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备受关注的美国大选已经进入最后一个月倒计时,华尔街顶级投行伯恩斯坦(Bernstein)分析师近期也再度重申表示,从长期来看,无论大选结果如何,在低利率、持续的美国财政赤字政策和前所未有的债务水平状况之下,比特币都将向好发展。9 f4 n* q, h/ Q$ [& `5 V6 a- q
3 `# k$ c% Q6 h' e$ x: P" k- |; \6 `贺锦丽胜选恐致比特币回测4 万美元
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不过,伯恩斯坦分析师也表示从短期来看,如果民主党候选人贺锦丽最终获胜,短期内市场可能将受到打击,比特币可能也将重新测试40,000 美元的支撑位:# x, ]: e9 A' X0 g$ C' u
7 Y' e) e4 W$ }如果贺锦丽获胜,在短期内,我们预计比特币将下跌,并可能将测试40,000 美元的支撑位。5 X4 d- F- S/ ]6 S# ~) \0 E% p5 h0 j4 H
但如果是美国前总统川普胜选,将更有助于比特币上涨,BTC 甚至可能因此冲高至80,000 到90,000 美元:
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& L" ^& B5 }+ Z$ h4 n" c川普的胜利将对比特币和加密货币市场产生越来越积极的影响,在川普获胜的情况下,我们预计比特币将再创历史新高,达到80,000 或90,000 美元。
1 r0 U. b, x! C D9 B) a山寨币在选举前将保持震荡
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- L, h& I. L2 N$ G9 y! |, i* l' S同时,伯恩斯坦分析师还预计,包括ETH、SOL 等一系列山寨币,在选举前无论如何都将保持区间震荡,因为除了选举结果外,山寨币上涨还需要美国SEC 和白宫在加密监管上做出更为明确的规定。: p$ r$ [0 U7 K6 G% C
K8 [$ \: v/ K; D7 _
比特币下杀6 万大关
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而在加密货币市场方面,尽管稍早美股收涨,但是比特币昨晚短暂触及62,411 美元后就急速下滑,今(10)晨接近五点时最低来到60,302 美元。# T& R3 \! W4 o7 S# |
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撰稿当下报60,685 美元,近24 小时下跌2.73%,能否站稳六万美元还需更多时间观察。2 n' @* ]& d' ~) c8 E3 ^ U
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1 O: E8 j: `8 q" W E- S I川普胜率达到53.2%
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' Z! K2 c9 ?. G6 _据目前大热的预测市场Polymarket数据显示,市场押注川普获胜的机率已经与贺锦丽拉开距离,为53.2%,贺锦丽只有46.2%。但民调结果本来就常有波动,请谨慎判断。' Y7 q- H' y4 P6 T1 I5 m5 I9 R
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