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[lastpost] => 2771072 Polymarket重返美国，预测市场的下一个机会在哪里？（转） 1759520374 一帆风顺发
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万众瞩目，美联储将公布9月利率决议。: [: k1 b4 ? L/ c, {) S4 ^7 d
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比特币跳水1 ~2 [- m: g9 m) z8 f4 r' E+ k" x
/ }3 p0 S+ p4 V- E晚间，美股涨跌不一。( z3 Z2 _' s0 U- G1 K; S
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! K) M5 ~4 \. V1 E3 e3 W& S黄金与白银出现小幅跳水。! K% l. \* P# P6 O8 F
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比特币方面，在经历前两天的上涨之后，也出现跳水，Coinglass数据显示，过去24小时之内，虚拟货币有超6万人爆仓。5 L6 t, g- k- m: ]$ v
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/ p/ I9 u3 T% `+ F; `欧洲方面，英、法、德三国重要股指纷纷飘绿。! Y3 ~6 f2 w- Z* P8 i
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美联储将公布9月利率决议2 l7 v1 T/ q& y
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消息面上，美联储定于北京时间周四凌晨2点公布9月利率决议。( T+ Y, ]- T5 j( @5 N
% ?4 k$ N& p0 ]& k9 g美联储主席鲍威尔8月下旬曾表示，降息时机已到，几乎“明示”了美联储将在9月货币政策会议上宣布降息。然而，上周公布的数据显示，8月份美国核心CPI同比上涨3.2%，超出市场预期，又使市场对美联储大幅降息的预期有所降温。
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' c# Z0 d" b3 D7 w1 { m( \- R此前，市场普遍预计美联储将降息25个基点，在华尔街大行中，只有摩根大通预计美联储今日将降息50个基点，多数机构认为年底前会降息75个基点，花旗预测9月会议后会两次降息各50个基点。, a$ ~* J% I7 U* N$ w/ B/ q2 V$ v
/ G7 }8 h9 C$ q. g不过，素有“股坛教父”之称的沃顿商学院教授杰里米·西格尔近日撰文表示，美联储应考虑更大幅度的降息，否则将面临经济衰退风险。, u% S0 i1 w& o. ^6 B" X
; V* N. _$ R9 V6 n' q0 G& P此外，今晚，美国继续公布相关经济数据：8 v9 c3 Y. l) H* G2 c3 O! a1 x# s
! M/ x' [8 d1 m0 n C6 |' S美国8月新屋开工年化总数135.6万户，预期131万户，前值从123.8万户修正为123.7万户。- E1 M% X9 y% w( a
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美国8月新屋开工年化环比升9.6%，预期升5.8%，前值从降6.8%修正为降6.9%。! P& G& C# w" Q, B4 g1 C# Z
- y5 A* M( a2 b& _& ]) A美国8月营建许可年化总数初值147.5万户，预期141万户，7月终值140.6万户。
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美国8月营建许可初值环比升4.9%，预期升1.4%，7月终值降3.3%。
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