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[打法交流] 揭秘百家乐赌场优势(转)
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1#
赌场优势
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3 X, G  {1 n! V为什么久赌必输?这首先是一个数学问题,因为赌场是游戏规则的制定者,具有赌场优势。7 M+ c( Z# |4 [+ N* P- i' R
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我们来举一个简单例子。赌场里最流行的游戏是百家乐,这是一款扑克牌游戏。在牌桶里有8副牌,荷官会给庄家和闲家各发2-3张牌,按照一定的规则比大小。
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& y7 }& Q! k7 g- Z5 a百家乐游戏
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( s5 M1 |5 d. w  C具体的发牌规则比较复杂,我们不做讨论,我们只要知道:由于发牌顺序和规则的原因,庄家和闲家获胜的概率是不同的:7 t1 s2 b0 w9 W- f9 K: T4 w
% [7 w' J9 D/ Q3 v! [
经过计算,在一次牌局中,庄家获胜的概率是45.86%, 闲家获胜的概率是44.62%, 和局的概率是9.52%。赔率一般是:庄家1赔0.95,闲家1赔1,和局1赔8。如果出现和局,下注庄家和闲家的筹码不会输掉,而是会留在原位等待下一局。5 V7 B& P7 V# @  k, M

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百家乐游戏获胜概率( i/ [& |3 x  r; D! q+ x
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那么,你觉得百家乐是一个公平的游戏吗?9 j: K1 ?5 B: M  R
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如果下注庄家1元,你有45.86%的可能性获胜,拿回1.95元,也有44.62%的可能性空手而回,还有9.52%的可能性是平局,你的筹码会继续留在桌面上。所以,一局结束后,你手里的筹码的数学期望是:' a% T2 r& y* g6 P% K  Q; E/ w

0 t4 K, m" ~" L, P- tE=45.86%×1.95+44.62%×0+9.52%×1=0.9894元
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也就是下注1元,平均亏掉1.06%。: p+ E2 F. M. I7 k4 s' k- n
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下注庄家1元的数学期望: K+ D3 p# y  l' R* Z7 G% K5 y
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同样的方法,可以计算出下注闲家1元,平均可以拿回0.9876元,亏掉了1.24%。
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E=45.86%×0+44.62%×2+9.52%×1=0.98768 P4 e( D; m1 X

3 O9 ?0 I+ L+ g3 p9 \也就是平均亏掉1.24%。- h/ x& H4 y, I

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下注闲家1元的数学期望
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那么下注平局呢?如果庄家大或者闲家大,你将会损失掉这1元。如果和局,你将会拿回9元,所以你平均可以拿回0.8568元。1 {* C; z/ A7 _, U& n! M
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E=45.86%×0+44.62%×0+9.52%×9=0.8568* x0 c" [. N; a9 b! F3 _) s; v
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也就是下注和局,平均亏掉14.36%!这真是败家最快的方法了。2 @- a1 W; ?( \" a

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百家乐这款游戏,你下注庄家,平均一局亏掉1.06%,下注闲家,平均一局亏掉1.24%,下注和局,一局亏掉14.35%,相当于股市里的一个半跌停。无论你如何下注,从概率上讲赌场都会赚你的钱,这就是赌场优势。
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+ n2 u9 ]) d( b2 E: K. K# r百家乐游戏赌场优势4 t; g- @; {. U: ]& t
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在赌场里的所有玩法,赌场都有优势,只是优势大小不同,平均一次下注,少则亏一两个点,多则亏三五十个点。这个结果是可以预料的,因为赌场不是慈善机构,为你提供这么好的服务,显然是要有代价的。; l# H" H6 S" a1 N9 v* B' p# Y9 S

8 g2 J9 K' i5 Y4 A, w数学可以告诉你钱是怎么输的,但是不能帮助你从赌场里赢钱。在电影《雨人》中,主角的哥哥患有自闭症,但是却具有超强的记忆力,靠着记忆里记下了八副牌的顺序,赢了一大笔钱。现实生活中这是不可能的,因为荷官洗牌时并不会给你时间记牌,而当发牌到少于一定数目时,又会重新开始洗牌。想着凭借数学或者记忆力在赌场里赚钱,是异想天开的。7 C- A& I, q2 U' E
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参与人数 1贡献值 +3 收起 理由
avatar 天策-菱玖 + 3 理论区转载发帖奖励

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avatar
90#
赌场的优势肯定是更多了的
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89#
当然是啊,还是有一点优势了
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那是不错的一个优势的了
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87#
我是不去现场赌的,网络上庄家肯定有坑
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86#
看样子是不错的一个走势的了
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85#
幸运了,再坑的荷官都抵挡不住你
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84#
荷官最首要还是看外表,没有颜值的大致上我不会搞
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83#
使用这个方法有胜利是最好的结果了呀。
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百家乐我是经常搞的
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81#
此次方法就是赢到一天的生活费我也满足了。
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80#
有些荷官一瞧就是不同凡响,还是需要好好关注一下的。
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79#
楼主碰上这种必输的局,运气也是格外烂了
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78#
每一种方法也是值得去看看收藏下的啦。
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77#
懂得这个方法我认为也是必须关心起来了的哦。
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76#
这个游戏有收获就是最好的结果了呀。
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有盈利的时候就该离开,全部游戏长玩就是完了
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