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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，$ T! M! C r" j% |% ]/ L+ z( z9 Y
( U! Z# s2 S1 I F. t3 A比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
1 o9 D: y& b8 M6 x我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
7 j% s6 Z$ S6 ?' A! y3 w' O8 E# n9 M, W, J0 ^; N' T
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在- [0 w- I S6 n* X
e! B% \; m. \0 O/ P$ J( @没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过" l: K" a6 s' \% h- a
! q, D$ @$ \2 x* `( }
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
. A: ~2 n- T7 D ^5 T8 b8 ^8 Q, D1 Q3 b
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长1 C. n; U+ L- Q: h6 f* A
% K8 }6 u' Q/ z5 ^- ^+ ^0 C+ a
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH 2 p- e$ f& D4 Y2 l9 j
& O/ ?) u; d) ]% h/ U! p' qLayer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
f/ }1 D3 r# I! V0 ~9 w
+ ~* n6 ]: u3 S3 O! L/ @ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿* C' ^ ]' w5 {+ j( c* D. Y8 t# l
8 S; t5 N2 n. D美金）。
b( k( ~& j6 o- p$ Z7 @- P0 ]8 I
: m/ r/ p: e8 } r! h9 _; @7 M3 Q, H2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态 g7 p$ y$ A$ C/ ?
. l; O% |1 w: I$ V比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去6 M! V+ F' G5 }+ c; M% m5 h
2 c& d% X; L" B2 N! ]1 G
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。, S: F7 a& N* e8 [# r
8 s. J8 U/ h' m: D5 i! e) ]3 A# x3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户" b& Y, R) Z9 a, [; y" ^- j
6 |6 \% R4 U3 f X* T r
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。+ `4 N/ a+ [' R# Y
6 c6 L1 }) V/ } Y, N8 v# @
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL9 j6 F5 d! `4 O4 o' m0 f! g
5 F( d% V$ g0 M( z' F x约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如: m% [6 g) ~! b" q0 p# _2 z
% l8 b7 D4 d6 i6 m
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
- V+ C, j! J' l! N4 n0 X w
( x, D4 b6 ~1 M6 q金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。$ W0 [: @) c& } L5 Y
( z1 u9 X- b- l/ R0 t) Q1 q1 a
8 g, I7 O; ]* a8 _* H+ {+ t1 {
9 |/ x8 V" {, }- k |
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