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上周,法院对加密货币瑞波币(XRP)的裁决令数字资产行业兴奋不已,但本周却相对平静。1 }. ?$ L" q4 R2 H
( _( g% c! w1 ?: u. Q9 K/ ABitwise资产管理公司是一家专注于加密货币的公司,管理着超过10亿美元的资产。该公司首席执行官亨特·霍斯利(Hunter Horsley),他谈到了他对未来几年市场的预期。
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4 l, Q! j4 i( |0 P未来还会进一步上涨吗?, R" R# R7 ^1 X1 P1 p8 A
3 y9 Q: ]7 T( s/ `0 G/ @ i3 B( d霍斯利在接受《分布式账本》采访时表示,加密市场可能会经历至少两年的牛市。! j6 `0 V! Q5 t
: [: D) L' \, u5 R+ p/ `霍斯利表示,加密货币的历史可以分为几个四年周期。他说:“从历史上看,比特币和加密空间会上涨三年,然后进入熊市,通常会下跌60%到70%。”. g$ j# D3 Y2 l; F( `
( S3 I1 a6 E' B- k( T- J, C0 d霍斯利说,每次牛市都有不同的催化剂。比特币于2009年诞生引发了加密货币的第一个牛市,持续到2013年,而以太币于2015年推出,引发了一个牛市周期,并于2018年结束。霍斯利说,从2019年到2021年,区块链的不同应用推动了加密价格的上涨。
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2022年,随着美联储加息一年多,比特币和以太币都下跌了60%以上。
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霍斯利表示,今年是加密货币新四年周期的第一年,数字资产有可能走高。他说,如果历史有任何指导意义,那么加密货币在未来两到三年将迎来牛市。
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. Q2 v0 K6 a: \8 a6 a- \8 X5 g根据CoinDesk的数据,今年迄今为止,比特币价格上涨了80%以上,达到3万美元左右,但仍比2021年的历史高点下跌了50%以上。+ E8 h$ M6 n/ V9 J
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霍斯利指出,在这个周期中,比特币和其他数字资产的主流采用可能会推动加密货币的反弹。霍斯利说:“机构主流交易对手、消费者用例,以及分散应用程序的用户数量从500万到1000万到1亿的更广泛采用,都可能成为牛市的催化剂。”
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]/ K( X1 s0 L# y: D m可以肯定的是,加密货币领域仍然相对年轻,而过去的表现并不一定代表未来的结果。
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霍斯利说,美国对加密货币监管透明度的任何进展也可能使该领域受益匪浅。“在过去的四五年里,加密货币成熟和采用的最大障碍一直是监管透明度。”随着美国监管机构加强对该行业的监管,“这意味着一些项目和资产将处于错误的一边。你会为此付出代价的。但整个行业将从中受益。”" s, g' F3 N! p) H! ?9 M, B0 O
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投资组合中的加密3 ?8 X/ [! r" l& n
( K; G2 r: H1 F# |! k- Hcoinlip首席执行官本•韦斯(Ben Weiss)表示,对于在当前市场环境下采用杠铃策略的投资组合来说,加密货币可能是一个不错的选择。
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杠铃策略指的是两篮子资产的投资概念,其中一篮子非常安全,而另一篮子则持有投机性但潜在回报很高的资产。
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Weiss指出,虽然加密货币的波动性很大,但比特币今年和过去10年的回报率远高于大多数其他主要资产。韦斯说,这使得数字资产和美国国债成为杠铃投资组合的绝佳组合。目前,数字资产和美国国债被认为非常安全,收益率超过5%。
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瞬间加密# v% r v, q* j
( c4 K0 h1 {; A! O. X, ]根据CoinDesk的数据,比特币在过去七天里下跌了2.9%,周四的交易价格约为29,728美元。同期,以太币下跌1.7%,至1,885美元左右。
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早期阶段也是有在关注中
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