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[虚拟币交流] 比特币减半后若币价低于3万美元 大量矿企将巨额亏损（转载）
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1#
比特币区块奖励每四年减半一直被市场认为是牛市启动的催化剂，许多人认为跟着这个
& c) D9 K" Y- s/ I% y叙事投资大盘是稳健的，但对于比特币矿工来说，挖矿的电力、设备成本和区块奖励之间的权衡就更为复杂。
9 o' _. o2 X& p" e7 Q$ X3 {' F比特币减半，矿企成本将翻倍
: k+ M/ ?0 \2 m6 {8 v$ n4 a7 O目前，每个区块的奖励是6.25个BTC(价值约170,000美元)，而到2024年4月，这个奖励将对折减少到3.125个0 y' g) ~' S) j9 g6 h7 e
BTC(价值约85,000美元)。
- @- i+ H  E$ ^Blocksbridge挖矿咨询公司的研究主管Wolfie Zhao表示，目前上市的矿企每挖掘一个比特币的成本为10,000-
. S. A9 a& x8 S) d: L15,000美元。一旦减半发生，这些成本将翻倍，使得矿工的收支平衡点达到20,000-30,000美元。# L, k8 m- c2 q$ c
根据Zhao整理第一季的数据，Stronghold Digital Mining(SDIG)、Cipher Mining(CIFR)和Riot
8 G$ n+ F2 k! @" O! V' ^1 _& HPlatforms(RIOT)的生产成本最低，Stronghold每个比特币的成本为8,200美元，Cipher为8,600美元，Riot为
4 o5 T3 @& K' U, U/ U2 [10,400美元。6 |5 v0 R: t$ N* P( i" C! I
假设减半后比特币价格没有明显的上升，未来只有成本最低的矿工才能存活下去，其他矿企无可避免的面临到越' Y7 A- ^4 J  a4 a. u& ^$ N3 m9 t  O
挖越亏的地步。TeraWulf(WULF)的营运战略长Kerri Langlais表示：在减半之后，能源成本和设备效率将决定谁
7 Q8 E' P( [0 w! }  v是赢家和输家。; G9 I% B, b' C0 Z5 `
比特币挖矿成本是贵金属两倍$ W& {# [6 N* M; L8 T
挖矿服务提供商Luxor Technologies的分析师Jaran Mellerud认为现在这个时机点对于矿企来说是充满不确定性
9 ]1 X  l1 F3 Y9 [( ^" u* @# [的，需要衡量是否要扩增新设备，而相对于其他行业，挖矿业需要很高的资本成本，是贵金属行业的两倍，判断8 }5 f9 Q) Z' j/ m  u1 }9 L
错误将付出更大的代价。* L% s; {( K. \
即便面临挖矿难度和算力不断创历史新高，且相对于2022年秋季比特币价格降至约15,000美元的低点时，矿企的* l' k6 Z: f; R6 K2 u$ k0 v5 C4 u
情况已经有所改善，但是现在的算力和难度增高是反应先前的投资，是否要持续投入又是对于下一阶段的预测。
0 d% U/ Y/ m0 q+ c: o  y  x4 Q4 d比特币价格的上涨或下调还有能源成本都关系到矿企的盈利能力，决定他们在减半后决定是否需要运营下去。
+ p/ A- |( ^% Y& x+ t$ j) e9 l: y/ R9 q

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11#
损失就是非常的难受了的啊。

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10#
比特币对很多事情有影响的

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9#
第二亏损幸好不关我的事

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8#
这样的话，矿企肯定是要巨亏

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7#
都是亏损的多了啊，没想到了啊

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6#
这个上有损失也是难过了吧

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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
那是有不少的损失的了

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4#
巨额亏损的话也是好无奈的了， 不懂的！

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3#
这个也是需要去减少损失的了啊。

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2#
不会的吧，矿企的成本会如此的高吗？

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