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小分3种情况:* u0 h: ]' `) r( @9 L
/ L" Y, N4 C5 O) c9 }1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。" V; V* n4 e- V, o& o! K3 w5 w( W
- l0 S+ K8 G) u* D/ O2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。 p1 M Y) N' m& A/ o% K
$ D7 ?' H( f/ S) c; v o- W! G- D3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。/ K/ p6 ^6 e3 m( W, B
h. g2 e. P2 `$ g0 h1 L8 n, Y& n& N2张牌8或9点的情况有:
' T& y( d7 l! K- X+ d0 S+ E
; |0 Y! c% ^; P6 w' o1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10; j* |7 S7 L1 u9 ]+ ^ w V
4 d, I2 T2 |3 _$ \5 X3 }) W- M, p
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
/ `4 h/ M9 e4 u5 o3 B" U6 @: T: |$ K
4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415( m9 j: s: q3 ^4 M6 g
5 {- U1 p9 D8 R8 q
8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415) A( Z7 |" @" H3 W6 ?% m/ z8 f
! q2 k, E$ I1 j" v+ _ l由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。
9 e0 C) L- q" c5 e5 x) s8 f) }' ^/ M( h2 n0 S0 l
通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
9 ?6 w5 j' F7 P" X1 O
! I. J0 b5 S3 T% V1 l那么我们可以得出
* L( [0 o# ?2 `+ G* {+ D
3 x: n& x! d3 O1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
) y3 M9 |% \! T2 R/ O3 L0 `! i$ Z, w, c, j1 ?8 o
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171
4 e/ l5 q2 w/ Q: X# s# Y$ h3 v/ A: c. {# D+ g! d D
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491! L% H a7 a" Q# W
y( |! h" u* }1 t5 ^
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323: F* E) J( m, |4 @8 U g1 ?! r4 O
& q! m$ k) h' l8 B, _* m百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
" r' L7 p6 k8 ` |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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