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赌球,说好听点叫做体育博彩,确认的是总体上无论如何庄家也是立于不败之地的,每场开盘的比赛,赛前基本% u7 U x( o; o: A, Y
: R; b! p/ t m7 ~( t" e5 s
上95水或者925水,走地足球90水篮球一般85水上下,只要通过投注量情况调整水位,稳稳的就能获利.0 g5 T# A( r6 ]- U: y/ [7 P) O. g
& G1 N! _+ \& L9 `% Z2 G% c但大多数,庄家并不是只赚水钱.从闲家的博彩心理角度来看,前面盈利多的自然想乘追击而输大的则想速度% l+ F: n2 J6 |8 E1 B
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翻本,人的心态不可能总保持一个平和理智的状态,于是,清仓注开始了,乱下的开始了,庄家则非常乐于看到0 F7 c1 a% C% ?' r
, [5 b1 G) n# E这一点,它们不怕你赢,就怕你见好就收,还是彻彻底底收的那种,但这种情况太少见了.
( \- S! Z4 B2 U7 I7 r* ~' L $ J& C# z& Z6 L! E, y: S% W
庄家根据多年的计算,有一整套的赔率体系和数学模型,有经验的操盘手开出平衡的盘口来,犹如机械一般,没
3 B! U: [, G* n; j1 J3 b( y7 e/ G6 a5 ^3 K! \$ w
有什么心态的起伏,而闲家,在下注过程,比赛进行过程,心理变化巨大,不经意间就落入陷阱,感性的疲惫的闲
& v$ [4 v; A7 w: G3 R
5 v4 V* K$ h* ~' W3 n家和机器般的庄家是无法对抗的.人性的弱点被庄家所利用,因此玩球倾家荡产跑路跳楼的很多也不足为奇.( x8 h8 L+ M% s' ]
9 y& t8 O, r. Y3 G5 Q6 d: M因此呢,还是尽量远离赌球是最明智的,或者真能做到收发自如娱乐的心态玩球.9 _/ V0 K; a9 @# [: q
. Q% [. r" B$ Q+ d C" t4 c闲家的优势,真正能获利的只有心理素质极佳的精英玩家,这也是一些大博彩公司有限额投注的原因.任你开$ j0 q5 s P9 r5 |5 P9 [4 W
: U4 N& {8 M: u: i再多的比赛,再多的走地,精英玩家只选择对自己最有利的盘口,有条件的则去现场观看比赛利用时间差投注
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6 c1 Y2 F# W' X! J2 u: \3 k$ J获利.选择最好的盘口,提高并维持胜率,做出博彩的纪录.$ Q7 [" {' t$ h- K, B2 T! B0 R
; w2 | F" a& n. [
闲家有选择投注的权利,有不下的选择.牢牢掌握住这仅有的优势才有可能获利.下面还是从NBA比赛谈一
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# i5 y/ {5 ]- d9 q谈./ X" }3 B; d! {- U3 \
+ y4 H% t4 u. n! ^) h9 ~: |' U( u* b
NBA每场比赛的开盘都是经过严格计算,结合球队实力近期状态主客场情况开出让分盘和大小盘,基本上上
* m+ y l6 P l1 j; X! A( L b% E6 K4 x! V, ~5 d$ T5 o
下盘的投注量会差不多的,也会随着投注量不平衡或者突发一些事件升降盘,赛前的盘口选择广大NBA博彩
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爱好者都有自己的看法,我的意见是深盘慎去上盘,选择的最好是强势的近期盘路走势较好的球队,比如前一4 a# ~& C' f: i" m9 z
& i. _5 ]* F6 d' W0 n
阵的骑士,目前的魔术,全场盘看好上盘让2分3分,那就选择标胜,虽然水低一点,但可以通过以盈利额为准增( I! ^ q3 w% y
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加投入,也降低了风险.比如12月12日太阳主场对魔术,太阳全场让1.5分95水,标胜83水,这种盘最好要选
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标胜,以盈利50元为目的,就投入60元好了.最后太阳险胜1分.庄家的开的上下盘姑且认为各是50%概率,闲0 m* `) p7 [' {
+ d8 \; I% v) [5 q+ E
家通过对NBA的了解对近期走势的总结和降低风险的投注,将自己的胜率达到55%甚至60%以上是最终目
* Y w0 n. k1 \. ~3 M; l% |/ Z" _7 u8 g6 k- ]6 E1 V
的.
6 c; w9 m" Y; P# Q! C# c
4 ?$ }& {) V$ L; D$ E1 E/ X1 V 赛前的盘如此,但比赛开始后,又有很多变数,球队当天的状态,手感的好坏,球队风格的相生相克等等.重点
1 p+ i' M5 r3 p6 A# p% J5 ?5 ]( w/ H# ~7 |* i
地选择还应该是下半场的赛前投注以及全场走地中寻找机会.比赛已过半场,人员都已确定,再根据中场的比+ ^' p. g% f* y R7 W! D
4 [( X& ~, H8 b1 _7 H! H
分结合全场盘以及下半的开盘选择,胜率要更有把握一些.我个人中场选择是从三方面考虑,实力,士气和盘路
9 }: j+ o u3 w2 c3 \. p% p
& |6 Q( {9 k1 h; W+ H对比,另一方面要看看庄家的开盘是否有倾向性,那样就要小心,比如11.23日火箭客场对魔术,全场魔术-2- ^( i# ~' O9 a) Z
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分,上半场魔术领先2分,然而中场盘竟然火箭让0.5,如果按全场盘来看至少也该是平手开盘,最后火箭赢球- `# s. D# ~7 v! l& }( W! ~& W
7 O% c! S& v2 f赢盘,24日马刺客场对灰熊,马刺人员严重不整,全场-2.5分上半场领先5,中场开盘还能开出马刺让分,最终
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7 N* V# C$ N- ^! P2 b! J马刺胜了13分.当然这都不是绝对的,但可以做为一个重要参考,下注的时候千万不要有个人感情因素和先入' ]( l3 F$ A" K: t0 B) }
8 k+ b- @7 o1 Z5 T8 Y' j为主的概念.上半场得分非常少,下半最好去大球,就算不去大球下半夜慎重去小球.大球队纽约,勇士等慎重8 ^7 K# N6 W# }( W7 p& h6 y
6 h4 J f( g5 G+ C
去小球,小球队马刺,黄蜂等慎重去大球.走地中的选择也是如此,玩走地时候最好看着比赛直播,还是盘口选
2 g# E/ P: B- [8 ? U/ ^2 l0 q! u0 w; z% A( {
择最有利的,能去标胜的盘就别去让分,千万别下可能双黑得投注,比如17号凯尔特人让老鹰4分,中场休息老6 t1 p( \: \4 m" g" M2 x9 K
! W9 c% }/ H, {0 e6 d) c0 \鹰领先1分,开盘下半凯让3.5,这个时候全场去凯的即使觉得不稳想反补也不能这时候补,最终全场凯赢3分,$ G8 [2 ^" [6 H( }% ^# r
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就会造成双黑得局面.而双方比分胶着而又频频打铁时候,总分已经严重低于全场总分盘追大是不错的,一方
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领先过多的时候去手下盘,虽然也有过开拓者主场对公牛,金块客场对国王那样比赛大比分领先还一直痛打4 r7 L. V3 m6 C" t1 _ w7 t
4 D! E7 |; \; J3 i落水狗的情况但总体上此时胜率还是可以的.总之,NBA没有定式,每天的比赛都有不同的情况,但可以依据盘5 g J, R4 f1 l& e/ N% d# S2 `
$ w/ f, S9 J! D# h8 B# r; s路的情况,对NBA的了解以及好的投注技巧提高胜率 |
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