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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普关税导致股市暴跌——但比特币早已经历过这一切（转）
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尽管宏观 FUD 不断上升，比特币仍保持在关键的 94,000 美元流动性区间之上。- g2 z) @8 ~# |7 }$ x$ t
持续的股市疲软可能会冷却企业的支持，对 BTC 的弹性构成关键考验。
. r0 T, N& d/ M8 O1 O, Q特朗普总统的“让美国再次伟大”的口号对于风险资产来说是一把双刃剑。
# D& D. d$ N- @* a# z2 ]
- t1 Z9 V5 W. a1 S8 J. Y一方面，他大胆、高举旗帜的民族主义给市场带来了清晰的认识，但他的举动的不可预测性也让市场充满猜测。
* d. v$ n& z; Q! v! L5 r0 b7 `
0 B6 J1 D# ]/ @5 E4 [进入 比特币[BTC]，在宏观风险再次爆发之际创下历史新高（ATH）。时机？简直乱糟糟的。, W3 u2 v3 ]! L$ D4 A
& E- ^8 ?& v. o现在，BTC 的弹性再次受到压力测试。& ]8 ?& [$ _7 L. A
* f, V6 g- w: u9 P
但据 AMBCrypto 称，经过数月的利率调整、流动性波动和地缘ZZ噪音，经验丰富的投资者可能已经具备了正确应对这一局面的肌肉记忆。8 @/ H/ H% Z9 L( [$ A" o3 L% U
4 i! Y: `7 `3 K8 z5 C: f; ^D这是否意味着当前的“下跌”是一场精心策划的震荡，聪明的投资者会利用它？9 x5 b* i& U! E' U2 O" k) c
9 d- O; X; ^' t, G# A W' C
比特币的信念面临另一场压力考验% a a2 e, ~3 i B
90天的关税休战并没有持续多久。
; t9 t) T) [: o J# K' y! X a
& T8 E+ Y7 ~6 b3 k2 M从 6 月 1 日开始，恢复对欧盟征收 25% 的关税又回来了——这引发了全球范围内的通胀担忧。
( {; {5 T; U4 H7 M5 j1 i4 K, s8 V
" U1 ?' }9 K" M; \% u自然，比特币做出了反应，大幅下跌 3.79%，收于 106,816 美元。这证实波动性已正式重新进入讨论。退出流动性也紧随其后。
7 }0 X7 a9 Z4 K3 I" g8 t
! f6 g0 ]' _4 {# x3 K- s1 OGlassnode数据显示超过 420k BTC 的成本基础约为 94,000 美元，是本周期中最强劲的链上支撑区之一。, v/ C/ W- b( \. ]3 s/ u! S5 @
0 Q3 w/ |) g1 f! ^5 {2 Z. @
按当前价格计算，这群人仍然拥有约 14.5% 的未实现收益，因此决定是持有还是退出并不简单。
6 z9 q& B2 K( R0 f9 D4 W
2 v0 b9 n9 d8 E6 k5 M3 R9 f/ {不过，由于流动性基础如此密集，且价格仅出现小幅下跌，此举可能不那么令人恐慌，而更多是为新一轮逢低买入做准备。
, Z2 d4 s- ~: Y% N6 D( h U) c( U9 C8 o( i
正如 AMBCrypto 所预测的那样。
9 Q, i( [$ u" N+ K
' h3 _5 Z/ {- K! y经典的投资者困境在宏观经济不确定性再度抬头之际重现
& ~1 E4 B- r/ p7 P# y5 y受到关税打击的不仅仅是欧盟，就连苹果公司 (AAPL) 也受到了冲击。+ [ c+ a& |7 b: ~7 e! E) N
9 ~5 P+ h* t1 T' A: L针对这家市值2.9万亿美元的巨头，美国将于6月1日起对苹果征收25%的新关税。尽管谈判窗口仍然存在，但假设苹果愿意配合特朗普的提议，市场并未等待解决方案。) l4 e- _3 z- W- Q
7 S+ K7 v, i% Q' U0 i, @: T
反应如何？迅速而残酷。) n, M: J* s8 W
9 L+ d$ R+ _1 x/ v- w& Z) m0 j短短五个交易日内，标准普尔500指数的市值蒸发了1.5万亿美元。与此同时，苹果延续了连续下跌的势头，过去10天从212美元下跌了近8%。. `, L* Z9 G3 T) _# F
# h0 r3 q5 [: v' J& y" @' v1 ` E这有什么大不了的？随着股市遭受打击，企业资金可能会转向比特币。; N1 E4 s% |' D
; c0 \) _& r( o9 E2 j6 X5 W0 u" {
随着风险资本的流动，BTC 有望上涨，而 Michael Saylor 的声音支持只会火上浇油。! H+ i* Q; U# p/ u# y. f4 r; p3 d
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