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[lastpost] => 2771086 罗伯特·清崎再开炮：嘲讽巴菲特“突然吹黄金”，警告大崩盘快来了？ 1759648820 rainwang
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当前离线
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BTC上涨至7万美元，扭转了网络基本面 ；
: ?+ D- K/ k) K: u F尽管存在短期调整和可能的盘整，但这是一个看涨信号吗 ；2 K% E( U! e9 x1 {. h
比特币[BTC]网络基础知识转变积极的10月，分析师首次认为这是该资产中期的积极信号 ；3 Y1 \4 b6 V. Q3 N; h! b
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根据CryptoQuant的数据积极的在牛市期间，网络指标是一个熟悉的趋势，尽管可能会出现调整或整合，但这表明该资产可能会出现积极的结果 ；
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在最近上涨至7万美元后，30天内活跃BTC地址的平均数量飙升至100万大关。它达到了6月份的最后一个水平，表明在上周的抛售中，人们对该资产表现出了极大的兴趣 ；. W# g$ q; x6 j) p- h
9 ?6 d9 v2 _7 D! @5 V下一步BTC上涨？; |& V0 K* X/ O* D9 }. [
采矿部门和网络费用也出现了类似的积极趋势。值得注意的是开采难度创下历史新高，表明BTC矿工之间对奖励的激烈竞争，这是BTC内在价值的积极催化剂 ；
% D! {9 u3 u/ a* N! R6 ~
- m( K- P- L' D( O- c( E' a此外，截至发稿时，BTC的表观需求或生产和库存计划之间的差异飙升至25.6万BTC的6个月高点。在大多数情况下，需求的飙升总是伴随着BTC价格的上涨 ；
' p- y* A: Q4 W! |
?6 Y/ N# |, U# G9 q尽管有上述积极的催化剂，但随着美国大选的临近，分析师对BTC价格的预测喜忧参半。! ~' j! Y' d& z7 G
. z9 _8 O9 o5 _& _Blockworks分析师Felix Jauvin警告在选举结束之前，BTC可能会受到区间限制 ；5 t+ `' l( p7 [- e7 a1 f; E
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“在选举临近之际，没有人想成为这里风险的边际买家。在选举结束之前，可能只是一大笔钱……：
1 s9 H- g( Y2 l
" A4 |& u. H2 U' O% M1 V另一位专家，贾斯汀·比尔内特，呼应了他的谨慎情绪，理由是鲸鱼对抓住最近周中的下跌缺乏兴趣 ；* i& e* W' S8 c
# [2 r1 ]% |- H9 D1 O, b1 }
自10月17日以来，追踪鲸鱼相对于散户的定位的Whale vs.Retail Delta有所下降，这表明鲸鱼减少了BTC的敞口 ；
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* a! q! ?- `$ F* I& X0 \$ Q: o* }/ y有趣的是，期权交易员仍然看涨，这可以从他们在选举日前增加购买看涨期权（押注BTC价格会上涨）中看出。. s: J0 R# s8 j4 e5 S2 D
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在10月22日的每日更新中，交易公司QCP Capital注意,( O) Q# m4 I" t- I9 i4 K* Q' \ m
% r8 q9 q; s- q$ T& `/ n" M“短期隐含波动率在选举日到期时达到峰值，与前一个到期日相差10个交易量，并且倾向于看涨期权而非看跌期权，尽管BTC比其历史高点低约8%”；) F0 E% D0 C G' A3 @- l, F3 e
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