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[lastpost] => 2770289 尽管 ETF 成功率达到 100%,Solana 仍有 2.98 亿美元被转移(转) 1759706780 hong29
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币下杀6万美元! 若贺锦丽胜选,BTC恐回测四万支撑位(转)
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伯恩斯坦分析师表示,尽管比特币长期看涨,但美国大选结果将在短期内影响加密货币市场走势,若川普胜选,比特币可能将触及80,000 至90,000 美元;若贺锦丽获胜,比特币可能将下跌,并测试40,000 美元支撑位。
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备受关注的美国大选已经进入最后一个月倒计时,华尔街顶级投行伯恩斯坦(Bernstein)分析师近期也再度重申表示,从长期来看,无论大选结果如何,在低利率、持续的美国财政赤字政策和前所未有的债务水平状况之下,比特币都将向好发展。
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贺锦丽胜选恐致比特币回测4 万美元) G8 n; u, x/ V7 @! O$ o0 o
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不过,伯恩斯坦分析师也表示从短期来看,如果民主党候选人贺锦丽最终获胜,短期内市场可能将受到打击,比特币可能也将重新测试40,000 美元的支撑位:6 Y$ D( W$ _9 K8 R- C
7 ]; H2 }: B/ A# h6 V如果贺锦丽获胜,在短期内,我们预计比特币将下跌,并可能将测试40,000 美元的支撑位。! V1 k H# Q1 b0 F; a3 e
但如果是美国前总统川普胜选,将更有助于比特币上涨,BTC 甚至可能因此冲高至80,000 到90,000 美元:
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; P# L; e6 g# E! J川普的胜利将对比特币和加密货币市场产生越来越积极的影响,在川普获胜的情况下,我们预计比特币将再创历史新高,达到80,000 或90,000 美元。6 _! g+ ]4 C: }' @6 W) ~( B
山寨币在选举前将保持震荡
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! y/ a0 z% O& ^4 M9 J* r: g( ]同时,伯恩斯坦分析师还预计,包括ETH、SOL 等一系列山寨币,在选举前无论如何都将保持区间震荡,因为除了选举结果外,山寨币上涨还需要美国SEC 和白宫在加密监管上做出更为明确的规定。( P) c0 t) B7 Z2 ?, g1 T( E4 R
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比特币下杀6 万大关 D, I; l4 z. D. W% x
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而在加密货币市场方面,尽管稍早美股收涨,但是比特币昨晚短暂触及62,411 美元后就急速下滑,今(10)晨接近五点时最低来到60,302 美元。' M+ J/ [& A8 V4 S
* D7 N$ o( P" g3 X% j, p! \撰稿当下报60,685 美元,近24 小时下跌2.73%,能否站稳六万美元还需更多时间观察。7 L0 v7 q* v$ D0 z } Y
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6 \1 S) d7 V# a5 c# P9 H4 P川普胜率达到53.2%
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据目前大热的预测市场Polymarket数据显示,市场押注川普获胜的机率已经与贺锦丽拉开距离,为53.2%,贺锦丽只有46.2%。但民调结果本来就常有波动,请谨慎判断。
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