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在杰克逊霍尔会议导致美国市场崩溃后，比特币进入9月第一周，走的是一条坎坷的下坡路。
# Z, x9 i, O) C0 i' k0 T& b. H在美联储加强了对通货膨胀前景的鹰派言论后，风险资产全面抛售，加密货币仍在受余波影响。
# S; C5 J7 V* O9 k$ _5 O& w9 t相当稳定的周末并没有改善市场情绪，BTC的价格走势已经回到了20000美元下方的区域。
1 ?# p( T1 Q; t% Q" {' a9 |( t' j这样一来，持续数周的上行实际上已经消失，交易员和分析师据此预计，比特币将重新测试今年6月的宏观低点。
" Y8 E9 o! b, M. R5 D5 p9 a0 i虽然在9月加息决定公布之前，有关美联储的一切都很平静，但由于地缘政治的不确定性和通货膨胀持续存在(欧洲的通胀仍在上升)，所以不安空间仍然很大。 ) O4 k2 l$ e( i' s& C
然而，就像上周一样，比特币作为一个网络似乎在基本面上具有弹性，链上数据与价格图表显示的情况完全不同。 ' a/ U3 T6 f' O) e8 U) k8 J
Cointelegraph在考虑BTC/USD未来几天可能的走向时研究了以下五个因素。 3 c. z5 I! F! z& a' V
现货价格触发18000美元的目标价格
: H/ B9 X7 d" o; L l$ y u7 W: NCointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的数据证实，猜测BTC/USD在最新一周收盘时的走势并不令人惊讶。
+ o5 G( D& N+ e/ [0 b0 z' N8 y在经历了一个相对平静的周末后，BTC/USD在8月28日结束时大幅抛售，创下自7月初以来的最低周收盘价。
+ e5 S% [1 J: V4 m; ^: b! Q/ D' v2000美元的跌幅为多头结束了悲惨的8月，而在此之前一周，还损失了3000美元。
& K$ z E) t! d3 w: s3 {
7 l5 M5 F% g) ^+ t/ k- O3 S
BTC/USD一周蜡烛图（Bitstamp）来源：TradingView - ]6 }8 F; X) z, t3 C6 G
离月线收盘结束还有几天，分析师们的情绪在短期内不那么乐观，这是可以理解的。
# L/ |2 a4 t0 k6 m- [4 w! q$ t* P"希望我们能在本周看到复苏，但上周五股市的收盘方式看起来并不那么好，"交易员Josh Rager在周末更新的部分内容中向其推特粉丝总结道。
* I5 R* W% C- V1 t P" o- _尽管如此，受欢迎的交易账户Il Capo of Crypto仍然认为，在下跌趋势持续之前，有可能出现短暂的上行挤压。
. r8 D. {2 F2 w/ ^! a5 W注意到负资金费率意味着衍生品市场倾向于直接亏损，他预测23000美元可能首先重新出现。
9 ]( d* {, `/ g) R4 x交易员Mark Cullen回应说，交易员 "在20100美元和20300美元之间的区域增加了更多的BTC空头头寸"。
+ e9 e. v. m5 J) M( i# E在17000美元或更低的预测中，技术分析师Gert van Lagen给出了日线图上17500美元的最低目标价格。 * g, f5 K" [. m/ g) j4 O @
同时，TMV Crypto将18400美元视为值得关注的长时间框架领域。
5 R T7 F- n0 ^: C交易员为美股进一步下跌做准备: P& F9 ?) _4 }- j4 K7 u
上周，美联储主席杰杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的重磅讲话给全球风险资产带来了冲击。
/ ^+ @& g, g+ c" t p根统计，鲍威尔8分钟的讲话使全球股市蒸发了超过2万亿美元，其中仅美国股市就占1.25万亿美元。 5 @7 B6 m/ Z5 @ v! Z p7 l
鲍威尔说："在某些时候，随着货币政策的立场进一步收紧，放缓加息步伐可能是合适的。" |
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