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世界杯火热，各类菠菜彩票也卖得火热，会不会像电影小说里那样，黑心庄家靠操控比赛来赚彩民的血汗钱？1 F. y- {/ E+ Q: C; H3 ~
' i/ z+ o) N3 U, p+ X$ y 菠菜公司大声喊冤：我们设定赔率可是巨资请专家团队来做的，准确率一般都超过60%。
& W( }- M. k0 Q) ^' d8 s3 g. ]* n+ ^8 g
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( O$ d+ `& D4 w/ X8 ^4 t% s9 B1 O0 l还要运用巨型计算机和大量数学模型，根据各种因素计算出比赛结果，绝无操控一说。 : w4 P' ~$ ]& y* _! }
但实际上，菠菜公司赚钱根本不用那么费劲。例如某天意大利和英格兰对战，菠菜公司收到给意大利下注12万，给英格兰下注10万。如果意大利获胜，押对意大利的彩民除了拿回12万本金外，菠菜公司给予的奖金必须控制在10万元以内才不会赔钱，即赔率不能超过0.83，反过来对英格兰的赔率不能超过1.2。
3 }( x* ~% G: P5 g
5 K7 N$ D; O9 X. _) T C 而实际上菠菜公司为了保证盈利还会将赔率调的更低，一般设定意大利赔率为0.77，英格兰赔率为1.14。8 [% G2 H5 a, Z" t
! R7 [. R+ N% t; w1 Z, [ 菠菜公司盈利的秘诀就在于要经常根据投注额的变化调整赔率，过去这有点难度，但现在通过网络随时掌握各种投注数据，修正赔率就成了轻而易举的事情。
9 {# H% a+ {8 @$ U; X7 y" p) x( K: }! W4 j" u9 @6 M) ?
对万众瞩目的重点赛事，操控比赛结果风险远大于收益。但在一些非重点赛事上，假球司空常见，赌球集团的势力更是大的惊人。
t+ r* {# s |( M, g
( \1 P' j! j/ } 例如2008年欧洲赌球案就涉及9个国家200场足球比赛，而背后黑手就是亚洲赌球集团。. U7 A1 ?, H5 s9 Y7 \- ]
1 `, V3 f2 F/ L( [9 x4 ] 2009年克罗地亚杯决赛首回合被bao光遭到操控，亚洲庄家牟利1400万欧元。
( f8 B. F/ O; D1 [4 H$ Y2 x* f
5 V: [; P$ f; g5 P- O, g9 _; C/ N; i. R4 o 由于亚洲赌球公司技术太高明，不少欧洲菠菜公司现在都对亚洲盘口高度关注，甚至要跟着调整自己的赔率呢。# R- Q$ e* z$ Z- ]
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