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XRP在盘整阶段交易后面临崩溃的风险，分析师预测可能跌至0.4319美元。各种市场指标的支持证据加强了对即将下跌的预测。" t A5 s/ D- I& q) ?! `
在日线图上，Ripple[XRP]的表现一直不佳，这一趋势似乎将继续下去。它已经经历了1.71%的下降，预计还会进一步下降。 m% p+ ~* p8 s5 L
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XRP合并可能导致崩溃
: W! V: {0 Q, T1 m根据AMBCrypto的图表分析，XRP在一年多的时间里一直在规定的每日范围内进行整合，这一运动始于8月。
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9 W* h6 L! L: D5 h巩固阶段通常代表积累期，价格在矩形的上下限之间波动，通常为重大崩溃或突破奠定基础。) i$ Z5 u0 T1 |+ P |8 t
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截至本文撰写之时，XRP最近已从上限或阻力线反弹，并可能跌至通道底部，购买压力可能会推动其价格上涨，继续其振荡模式。 t3 |! b, O; q* v- I! N5 z; A
! R0 o/ Y/ j o K1 q( N然而，AMBCrypto报告称，抛售压力已经加剧，这表明下限或支撑线可能无法维持，这将导致资产价值进一步下跌。
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供应地销售压力增加
% I8 b2 b S/ L }$ d, SAMBCrypto使用Cryptoquant的数据进行的分析表明，XRP的交易所供应份额在过去24小时内显著增加，这表明其价格可能大幅下跌。
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这一增长表明代币在交易所的可用性更高，由于潜在卖家的涌入，其价格面临下行压力。0 v3 m, I0 v1 V& e& T! P
7 h3 i8 ^: V. \4 V3 O' Y已经观察到供应量大幅增加，这通常是由于鲸鱼将大量XRP转移到交易所出售0 j8 {2 D2 i9 @3 J
D/ o% t- x) K3 K& C" P最近，Lookonchain记录了一笔交易，一头鲸鱼在最近几个小时内移动了9500万XRP，相当于超过4900万美元，记录了更多的交易。
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此外，据Cryptoquant称，自本月初以来，XRP的交易所流入量稳步上升，进一步增加了交易所的总供应量。2 W+ ]5 Y) s+ ]6 w" @! w# I
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零售交易员的活动加剧了XRP的看跌走势) A$ S* _, E* P! ^/ G! @) ~3 t
追踪未结算交易的Coinglass对未平仓合约（OI）的详细分析显示，未平仓合约大幅下降7.02%，至5.6397亿美元，这表明散户越来越活跃，可能会对XRP价格的下跌产生影响。
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这种看跌前景得到了抛物线SAR（止损和反转）指标的进一步支持。
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" q* C+ g' d9 L1 z7 D抛物线SAR有助于识别潜在的价格反转和动量，由图表上价格条上方或下方的点标记。这些点的位置变化表明趋势发生了转变。
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