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德州扑克前40手起手牌的一些统计数字
5 {4 V3 ]7 Q/ U3 U6 a| 起手牌 | 赢的概率 | 平均收益 | 期望值 | 获牌机率 | | Cards | Probability of Win | Average Win | Expected Value | Probability | | Pair of A’s | 31.36% | 9.91 | 2.1071 | 0.45% | | Pair of K’s | 26.43% | 9.87 | 1.6079 | 0.45% | | Pair of Q’s | 22.66% | 9.81 | 1.2224 | 0.45% | | A/K suited | 21.73% | 9.52 | 1.0688 | 0.30% | | Pair of J’s | 19.84% | 9.74 | 0.9318 | 0.45% | | A/Q suited | 20.44% | 9.41 | 0.9239 | 0.30% | | K/Q suited | 19.80% | 9.41 | 0.8639 | 0.30% | | A/J suited | 19.51% | 9.31 | 0.8159 | 0.30% | | K/J suited | 18.94% | 9.31 | 0.7636 | 0.30% | | A/T suited | 18.87% | 9.2 | 0.7353 | 0.30% | | Q/J suited | 18.55% | 9.28 | 0.7217 | 0.30% | | A/K unsuited | 18.29% | 9.41 | 0.7209 | 0.90% | | Pair of T’s | 17.76% | 9.65 | 0.7145 | 0.45% | | K/T suited | 18.34% | 9.21 | 0.689 | 0.30% | | Q/T suited | 18.04% | 9.19 | 0.6577 | 0.30% | | J/T suited | 18.07% | 9.16 | 0.6552 | 0.30% | | Pair of 9’s | 16.05% | 9.69 | 0.5559 | 0.45% | | A/Q unsuited | 16.78% | 9.26 | 0.5539 | 0.90% | | A/9 suited | 16.87% | 9.12 | 0.5377 | 0.30% | | K/Q unsuited | 16.30% | 9.26 | 0.5098 | 0.90% | | K/9 suited | 16.22% | 9.16 | 0.4854 | 0.30% | | T/9 suited | 16.33% | 9.09 | 0.485 | 0.30% | | A/8 suited | 16.34% | 9.03 | 0.4756 | 0.30% | | J/9 suited | 15.96% | 9.12 | 0.4561 | 0.30% | | Q/9 suited | 15.89% | 9.14 | 0.4527 | 0.30% | | Pair of 8’s | 14.96% | 9.67 | 0.4471 | 0.45% | | A/5 suited | 16.23% | 8.9 | 0.4447 | 0.30% | | A/J unsuited | 15.70% | 9.1 | 0.4291 | 0.90% | | A/7 suited | 15.93% | 8.96 | 0.4272 | 0.30% | | A/4 suited | 15.88% | 8.94 | 0.4205 | 0.30% | | A/3 suited | 15.51% | 9 | 0.3957 | 0.30% | | K/J unsuited | 15.30% | 9.11 | 0.3944 | 0.90% | | A/6 suited | 15.62% | 8.91 | 0.3916 | 0.30% | | Q/J unsuited | 15.07% | 9.08 | 0.3687 | 0.90% | | Pair of 7’s | 14.14% | 9.65 | 0.3647 | 0.45% | | A/2 suited | 15.02% | 9.04 | 0.3579 | 0.30% | | K/8 suited | 15.03% | 9.03 | 0.3568 | 0.30% | | T/8 suited | 15.05% | 9 | 0.3556 | 0.30% | | 9/8 suited | 14.69% | 9.11 | 0.3388 | 0.30% | | A/T unsuited | 14.93% | 8.94 | 0.3353 | 0.90% |
* H0 M0 `- b B' s德州扑克游戏过程中的概率# |7 Z# N6 d- H: \
玩德州扑克过程中,一副牌形成的可能性有多大,对你下一步采取什么样的行动至关重要。一副牌形成的可能性有多大可以用成牌概率来计算。形成同花或顺子的机会有多大,拿到一张大牌的可能性有多少,当你手中握有一对时,悬牌形成三张同号的百分比为几,这些概率学上的知识对于德州扑克一轮牌的输赢非常关键,这些概率的计算决定你下一步是下注,跟注,加注还是弃牌。: [) L$ K; r2 ?& K8 x1 D
# z4 x6 J1 o# W& ]1 v; c下表列出了德州扑克游戏过程中经常用到的一些概率术语
7 I% w5 c: w/ q( j4 P" ?6 C1 {0 m! _- I' z+ L% w& T$ ^; m
补牌总数) j2 a; G$ `. u7 u
Outs
" t3 |) o y" x1 o# t未知牌中可以完成你一副特定牌型的牌数0 [- @8 b1 c% b4 l2 y+ H
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,在未知牌中我有9张补牌(9张红桃牌)完成我的红桃同花”* g. |8 m- C9 \/ {! l% L
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成牌概率+ n/ I, d" p9 H
Hand Odds G b" |: W& i- a1 f9 t; F
形成一手特定牌型的概率
3 b; ~2 k8 [) c+ K5 L0 X“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,我完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1”# t/ Q6 c" X [/ N% O
\, R4 k W; b; W4 i2 n) G, `6 u
总注概率. g$ a2 M' ?" F. {/ N
Pot Odds
- n f, k. \- j$ c) v/ K- l: H你下一步所下赌注与桌面上总赌注的百分比 “桌面上总赌注已达$200,我只要下$10赌注就可以进入下一轮,如果我能完成我的顺子,赌注概率对我非常有利。% ^2 p2 k1 A9 ?+ {) Z# {3 b, f9 l
9 w( V/ I* u) o0 Z" W- ~7 w; l
下注概率
" j$ o4 w# E- K1 M( g5 Q2 Z4 OBet Odds
! M4 m9 n4 Y' B# Y- T3 f你下注以后,根据后面跟注玩家的人数而计算出的一种输赢概率
/ y6 R1 h( }0 v+ r( `“我有五分之一的机会赢这手牌,我下注以后,有6个玩家会跟注,下注概率对我有利”* f9 Y( Y( W6 G1 d
) H3 T& P. n0 |1 F4 Y% L隐含概率
' G% ~5 ?# h6 d% L; z) V7 I ?Implied Odds1 N5 p8 V, l0 r. h6 ^
通过猜测其它玩家下一步所采取的行动而计算出的一种输赢概率
% s3 p( z8 B0 T, t1 G% K“我猜测这些玩家在看到转牌与河牌之后都会跟注,因此隐含概率对我非常有利”+ C+ r+ Z" K4 i9 T/ ]
; d+ c, e# J- A; f5 U
1 ~$ a0 J5 i a- |/ h下面举一个简单的例子,说明这些概率知识的重要性:4 _, e& b/ @7 ~6 k* W
转牌翻开以后,你有四张红桃,你完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1,你相信同花会赢这轮牌,而这时的总赌注为$200,你只要再跟注$20就可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比200,即为十分之一,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$200,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你1次赢钱的总数远大于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要跟牌而不是弃牌。2 J _- A" z: D7 S! @- T# S0 `" ?
: R& H( c3 N- x
反过来,如果这时的总赌注为$60,而你要跟注$20才可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比60,即为3分之1,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$60,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你一次赢钱的总数小于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要弃牌而不是跟牌。
3 S0 S) R1 _) N' u( C7 @4 y Y0 S1 R. o1 C- t* j+ Y
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