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[虚拟币交流]
如果发生这种情况，比特币可能会下降40,600美元（转）
[复制链接]
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一位分析师根据两个月盘面中形成的模式解释了比特币如何下降40,600美元。
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比特币在两个月的盘面上收到了TD Sequential的卖出信号。在X上的一篇新帖子中，分析师Ali Martinez讨论了出现在比特币
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+ c: o( p; z/ ?7 A- g两个月价格上的Tom Demark (TD) 序列信号。TD Sequential是一种技术分析指标，用于检测任何资产价格中可能的反转位置。) \( E8 T) m. a6 g6 D
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* O0 X( O" K' B3 n* L- w9 s 该指标由两个阶段组成：设置阶段和倒计时阶段。在设置阶段，相同颜色（红色或绿色）的蜡烛将被计数到九根。完成这九根蜡烛后，资产可能已达到反转点。
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( O" {0 ^1 e0 {# z( H: ^ `如果导致设置完成的蜡烛呈绿色，则 TD Sequential将发出卖出信号。相反，红色蜡烛可以表明底部已经到来。' s; y" O, o& y f/ H6 @3 d
9 y7 f& l# F4 z$ `1 o9 q8 Y& \8 \. a设置完成后，指标的第二阶段（倒计时）将开始。倒计时的工作方式与setup类似，主要区别在于蜡烛将数到十三而不是九。在这十三根蜡烛之后，资产可以被认为已! c3 h5 f4 ^" u& D) |6 x9 }7 c
6 ?4 y s4 C8 B U w经达到了另一个潜在的顶部或底部。
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4 d- ? N8 @- C比特币最近完成了首个TD 顺序阶段。这是分析师Chia的比特币两个月盘面，显示了这个信号：; c6 R' h& m- ^1 _( q
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( j4 ]9 V* x1 y8 g |' i9 E! P如上图所示，两个月图表上的比特币价格最近完成了带有九根阳线的TD 序列，表明加密货币可能已达到某种峰值。6 Q6 j% _3 O0 M- M
9 L7 y8 A* y. l. p自该信号出现以来，大饼一直在稳步下降，目前价格低于57,000美元。因此，这种下降模式很可能已经开始生效。, d. x; l: } l* R+ T
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关于比特币可能下降，马丁内斯指出支撑位为51,000美元，对应于大饼近期峰值的0.236 斐波那契回撤位。
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斐波那契回撤水平基于斐波那契数列，其中Chia链中的每个数字（数字 5 之后）除以下一个数字可在整个链中制作一致的比率。
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3 u0 n2 `7 r' Z. C5 o2 L比特币很可能会在下一个关键比率处找到支撑，但分析师指出，如果突破51,000镁的水平，该加密货币可能会下降40,600镁，相当于斐波那契回撤水平 0.382。4 T- M! }8 e: V: a' ?0 j
. U/ u8 @/ z, c2 e0 H- P: S在这种情况下，如果大饼实际上回到这一水平，其价格将比当前水平下降28%以上。现在，我们将拭目以待该资产的表现如何。
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: `% D! F+ m1 m大饼价格：过去一天，比特币继续进一步下降，目前价格已下降56,600美元。+ \! I0 j% u5 H/ s3 }
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