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[虚拟币交流]
比特币分析：看跌趋势线成为焦点，看涨者关注95119美元（转）
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随着阻力趋势线主导价格走势图，比特币（BTC）价格会维持在9万美元以上吗？
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比特币价格面临看跌压力，跌破93000美元，在过去24小时内下跌1.12%。CMC恐惧与贪婪指数已降至48，反映出投资者日益增长的不确定性。
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随着BTC努力突破关键阻力位，技术指标表明存在潜在的下行风险，而分析师对牛市反弹的可能性仍存在分歧。
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比特币价格分析
& q8 [' f! M, b1 X+ S4 ^) i尊重4小时图中的长期阻力趋势线，BTC价格继续呈看跌趋势。正如我们的预期最后一篇文章，92750美元的关键支撑位未能吸收即将到来的供应 ；- k9 Q) M2 A5 G1 z* W$ K
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崩溃反弹几乎达到了预期的90000美元水平，跌至91315美元的低点。随着价格拒绝率的降低，BTC价格从90742美元的估计目标提前逆转。1 \6 i& V$ s4 z$ p7 G
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然而，看涨反弹至92748美元未能超过20-EMA线和阻力趋势线。这导致价格迅速回落至93000美元以下。) R$ Y" o% O6 J" i$ Y2 `1 a1 _
5 k6 z7 |, o {3 r1 N# Z; X, m目前，比特币的交易价格为92748美元，在过去4小时内小幅回升0.43%。4小时RSI线显示从超卖区域快速转向，表明有可能横向延续。8 f6 @9 _# v% Y) F8 V9 e
+ h' E; y L& v6 q- j预计盘整区间将尊重90742美元的支撑区，同时努力突破阻力趋势线。
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- X+ v- W# v) x1 _富达在12月30日引领外流. p" c2 C7 E, a, J8 v3 _7 j1 S
随着市场经历回落，对比特币的机构支持下降。12月30日，美国现货比特币ETF的每日净流入总额为4.2613亿美元。
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比特币交易所交易基金
6 x8 U" x8 y) N( q& h7 t富达（Fidelity）领跌，流出1.5464亿美元，其次是灰度（Grayscale），流出1.345亿美元。
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BTC价格目标
3 y' D3 J2 \; e' l& L. D2 r随着新年的临近，越来越多的看涨预期可能会推动比特币突破阻力趋势线。8 f/ u& J. C- p5 C, q! a+ X
( P: H, K! |- w8 ?1 V在这种情况下，BTC价格可能会达到95119美元的即时阻力位。这非常接近50-EMA的动态平均线。
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! [, w6 r' P/ z M$ R$ I& o2 \另一方面，50-EMA与200-EMA形成了死亡交叉，预示着潜在的抛售。此外，下跌的100-EMA正在接近200-EMA，这是另一个看跌交叉事件。
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在看跌方面，跌破90742美元将为下一个支撑位86707美元打开大门。4 Q# o( I& k' }8 e$ m: n
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分析师点燃2025年的希望
5 q' F. q3 o% c, X! Z9 @尽管有多个卖出信号，独立分析师阿里·马丁内斯突出显示比特币的巨大增长潜力。" Z& s8 C# V X
# H' d, g. z- ~9 U: Q- c0 u: ]Martinez发现之前市场峰值的月度RSI与比特币流动性指数之间存在相关性，他预计比特币价格趋势将继续看涨。
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7 ~) |- E- }! q/ a在之前的牛市高峰期，月度RSI在下一个熊市开始前达到92。目前，月度RSI线位于75，这表明正在进行的牛市比空头预期的有更多的燃料。: L5 Y" H( d o/ E9 M H5 c( `. S
" n- t8 W- y9 r2 y" @$ kAlis对比特币RSI的评论8 s+ ~) z S% i( {3 R3 N% c a
结论
. T8 M% U3 L2 T% j7 }1 ?比特币（BTC）价格趋势在看跌压力下挣扎，因为死亡交叉和EMA下降等技术指标预示着持续的下跌趋势。" k8 l2 u7 G5 D( }, M
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然而，随着RSI从超卖水平回升，分析师暗示有更大的增长空间，看涨突破仍有可能，目标是95119美元的阻力位。0 `0 p* L! m( m# X8 W% j/ A
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