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[lastpost] => 2768025 加密货币已不再是单纯的炒币...现在可用币买房买车交学费，连“冷冻身体”都行... 1758903906 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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5 d' g0 u" b! C* Y 比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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& ? ~2 J7 k9 x 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。" w& w7 h( K3 p7 ^, K" M# J
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比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。1 |- o# y" g/ v2 K
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尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。- R2 P& Y( z4 V' ?. H" c) g6 G
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。
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针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，
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. E! p5 R$ {0 ~/ J! L4 _价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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- j6 y B0 k4 i “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间1 Y8 Z+ i' M7 w) b2 x, { O
, H' {- m3 Y9 z( }: F; A$ S. [ e框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”
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0 o8 @! [' A+ P& m3 ^ 知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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“$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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$ o, a' M3 x) j+ p6 B8 z( _积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”8 j1 H Y+ q4 p
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早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。- J& e2 q0 b# w8 t( U) l# {0 a
) C: h' M i) g! {! a6 @/ ] 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。5 ~0 `% j- G1 o! K8 H5 r( c. g
0 q4 B* w* C* `7 k" A$ D 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势
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2 K* I# E2 I: H 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。3 O! w3 c3 e/ v z% l2 q
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监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。7 U* [+ T. S- V$ A6 H. m; l
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该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”" s9 D7 Y, [ ]6 f
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