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[版主推荐]
越来越发现，学好概率，在菠菜中占据的重要性是那么大
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不论是玩真人，还是体育- _: Z# K6 U2 e( }4 b# k% t. }
比如真人，首先要计算好每种游戏的抽水率是多少，打个比方，骰宝的抽水就是有216种可能，其中的六种就是通杀6 ~ l# H6 b6 V- W: y. S' s
那么抽水率就是 6除以216=2.77% 也就是说，要时刻清醒的告诉自己，每下100元，铁定输给庄家两块七毛七
" Q+ M; V: g+ k8 N ?, B5 ~这样的话，结合存送等各种优惠，结合返水，找到适合自己的打法，才能使总优惠的概率超过这个 两块七毛七，那么你就是盈利的1 Y1 L, z6 i- I* P- b
M5 B j- |1 }2 u! g
体育也是的，虽然体育有技巧在里面，也有假球在里面，下注的时候也要考虑概率
: ^9 ^5 O7 w* o4 `! k( b5 m就拿nba来举例吧，很多人愿意砸盘口，可是盘口的两面水位极其低，尤其的滚球的时候，只有0.830 i8 C* I( `7 c! z0 w: d0 ?
0.83 的意思，就是每下200元抽水17元，竟然高达8.5%，也就是说你每下100元，铁定输给庄家8块5.6 O" i3 B5 Y1 D
再通俗点说，100除以8.5，你按照100一次的下，下了11.76次，这100元必定输光，这个是铁律$ i. z5 e* p' }* z0 h ?& B
况且nba盘口上也许有假球，杀大赔小，就莫不如下 单双好了纯玩运气，赔率0.94 抽水3%，虽然没有技术含量但是稳，这个3%比真人高点，但是不假
" \0 q2 ~: ]$ Z3 S想象着自己懂球，去砸0.83，就不算有假球，抽水也早就被抽没了& k7 D! Q/ @. t2 Z/ L1 c' J" G1 K
下注之前多三思，算算概率简单的数学题，对自己保持清醒的头脑，和盈利最大化，很有帮助. K$ z2 a* G5 O$ J+ H
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' @9 b1 l! Z6 p- P, `" b0 V
谢谢哈尼支持，必须理性啊
/ @- J; D( ~! P菠菜没有运气一说，就是概率法则 |
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$ k2 ~3 `9 J4 N
你的思路，我一直比较赞同，你的帖子我也在看9 I) M$ }" b7 C: @0 }( i+ G& G! ]7 r
你的下注方式，也是比较科学，有空多交流 |
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荷风送香 发表于 2016-1-30 10:03
* z. M+ s5 z" d3 `不论是玩真人，还是体育7 S' G, d2 w3 o
比如真人，首先要计算好每种游戏的抽水率是多少，打个比方，骰宝的抽水就是有216 ...
' C! f8 D, g" Z7 `( S所谓的概率那么都是骗人的，还是要运气的 |
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本帖最后由 荷风送香 于 2016-1-30 10:42 编辑
w9 G. C& M7 e+ D1 h5 @+ v7 N
7 E! E# [0 q r; e8 r; m是啊 必须算啊$ I- x; t+ r. ]4 o$ N
随意想起点 想法，码点字
( P7 v) G/ @; f! v版主还给加分了，多谢{:4_96:} |
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